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Desperate search for the missing in Texas flood; at least 51 dead: live updates

Heavy rains are expected to increase like those that have sent flood water to Texas Hill Contrame’s summer camps.

On Friday morning, some areas near the Guadalpe River received several months of rain within a few hours. It fell from six to 10 inches of rain in about three hours, according to the radar analysis by Alan Gerrard, A meteorologist wrote about the last flood event. The area usually gets 2.1 inches of rainOn average, in July and 31 inches for about a year, according to Noaa data.

The effects of severe rains were exacerbated due to Hill’s terrain. Some call the area “Flash Flood Alley”, because the rains flow quickly under the acute limestone hills to the rivers that suddenly overflow.

Scientists expect rainfall more intense in the future as human fossil fuels use the atmosphere.

A warmer atmosphere can absorb – and offer – more water, which means that the possibility of rainfall is very high. For each degree of warming in Fahrenheit, the atmosphere It can carry about 3 % -4 % moisture. Global temperatures in 2023 were about 2.32 degrees higher than the average of the twentieth century, According to the data of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Rain events are intense more likely with the world’s temperature rising, continued

In Texas, Top temperatures have already translated into more intense rain. In the 2024 report, the climate scientist in Texas John Nielsen Gamon wrote that “the rains in one day increased by 5 % to 15 % since the last part of the twentieth century” in the region. By 2036, Nielsen-Gammon was written, expecting an additional increase of about 10 % in the severity of rain.

Daniel Soyen, climate scientist at the University of California Institute in Los Angeles for the Environment and Sustainability, on the social media platform X that this was “exactly” the type of event that scientists expect in the temperature climate.

“It is not a matter of whether climate change has played a role – it’s just a matter of how much,” said Swin.

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