A stunning drone attack by Ukraine, which was deeply collided in Russia at the end of this week, attacked the Kremlin and the world showed how modern war technology changed. What remains is whether it can approach Ukraine closer to peace on favorable conditions.
According to what was damaged by the supreme secret operation-a year and a half in its manufacture-30 % of the long-range aircraft in Russia, including the aircraft used to launch missiles in Ukrainian cities and nuclear bombers.
Although damage assessments are underway, what is clear is that Ukraine has redefined modern war again with cheap drones and exceptional spy crafts, as it dealt with a major blow to a great power.
Why did we write this
The ability of the relatively low -cost drones to damage the assets of large strategic energy is a rippral lesson around the world, and highlights how to rewrite military play books in rapidly developed and unexpected ways.
In this process, the bold asymmetric attack raised questions among military analysts about everything from the future of air defenses to the nature of nuclear deterrence.
Analysts say that the country’s challenge to the face of the late Russian bombing and the endless offer of soldiers also reassures Kiev’s supporters that democracy is still existing-and that it will fight despite the difficulties.
“Surprising attacks are important in military history,” said Colonel Martin Odonil, a US spokesman for the leadership of the Higher Allies in NATO. “They raise the response, they can change the situations, [and] It is known that reshaping the military tactics and strategies. “
One of the position that Ukrainian President Folodimir Zelinsky said is that he hoped to change is that Russian President Vladimir Putin rejects peace talks. Hope, Mr. Zellinski said, is that such strikes “are what will pay [Moscow] Towards diplomacy. “
This has not yet been proven: Russia has again refused to stop the shooting in Istanbul on Monday at a meeting that lasted slightly for an hour.
A message to Russia or the United States, or both?
But the real target fans of Mr. Zellinski can be the United States. After the operation, President Donald Trump urged more sanctions on Russia.
With Moscow continued civilian goals, unlike Mr. Trump’s desires, the American President expressed some doubts about the goodwill of Mr. Putin. “This makes me think he might not want to stop the war – he just exploits me.”
For his part, Vice President JD Vance said that Russia may “seek a lot” in negotiations.
However, many supporters of Mr. Trump, who routinely express the lack of confidence in Mr. Zelinski, warn that the last Ukrainian attack on Russia crosses Mr. Putin’s red lines. They are also worried out loud that he has the ability to be an escalation, and at the extreme, to unintentionally attract the United States into a nuclear war.
Dan Caldwell, former Pentagon Assistant to Defense Minister Beit Higseth, said on Sunday in A. Social media yet.
The Kremlin was so silent about the Ukraine process. The friendly newspapers of Mr. Putin as a terrorist attack and say it proves that Kyiv is not ready for peace.
“I got some cards”
Ukrainian government sources say that the Spider network, the name of the code of Cove 1 Jun Drone Strike, personally supervised Mr. Zelinski, the Ukrainian government sources say.
President Zelinski said on Monday that the attack was “seriously weakened” military operations in Moscow and will descend “in history books.”
Retired Lieutenant Ben Hodges, the former commander of the US military forces in Europe, says he now loves to think about the involvement of Mr. Zellinski in the process as he is considering the controversial Ukrainian leader meeting in February in the Oval Office with President Trump and Vice President Vance.
“They were telling Zelinski,” You don’t have cards. “It is interesting that Zelinski, when he was screaming by these two people, already knew that this plan was approaching,” says General Hodges. “So it is wonderful, from a human point of view, that he sits there listens and thinks,” You are just waiting. I got some cards. “
The ability of the relatively low -cost drones to damage the assets of large strategic energy is a rippral lesson around the world. The threat was not unknown, but from the Pentagon to Beijing, the process highlights how technology can rewrite military play books in rapidly developed and unexpected ways.
The drone from Ukraine’s drone aims to stop continuous Russian attacks on Ukrainian civilians and infrastructure, such as hospitals and electrical networks. While the conflict was on a dead end for some time, as Russia dominates nearly 20 % of Ukrainian lands, Mr. Putin has much larger reserves than soldiers and fiery power.
This last attack included dozens of drones from the first person. Hidden in large container units with withdrawable surfaces, drones are designed to circumvent the advanced air defenses in Russia. According to what was smuggled, partly by unintended Russian truck drivers who thought they were delivering building materials and driving their trucks loaded directly on remote Russian bases.
By keeping its aircraft out of the Ukrainian strikes, Russia assumed its air assets – some of which were kept more than 2,600 miles from the border – were safe. There are also indications that the targets of the attack included the northern fleet headquarters of Russia, where nuclear submarines are established.
The echoes of the previous concealment attacks
The Operation Spider’s web repeated Ukraine’s 2023 attack using drones and missiles that destroyed a third of the black sea origins in Russia, forcing Moscow to move its fleet to the far east.
Regarding Tradecraft, the Spider’s SPIDER network was similar to the Israeli birth attack on Hezbollah last year, as Israeli intelligence replaced the regular summons of Hezbollah fighters with devices containing explosives. This attack was killed by Hezbollah leaders and cultivated widely uncertainty in its ranks.
“The achievement of a sudden impact like this will create a lot of lack of confidence and uncertainty in Russia,” says General Hodges. “You can imagine that it will not be fun to come to the office in Moscow to explain how truck troops of the Ukrainian quadquter became deep in multiple bases inside Russia.”
Russian pro -war bloggers, for their part, called the “Pearl Harbor Russia” attack and urges the punishment of Ukraine.
Despite Moscow’s efforts to reduce the damage, many supporters of Mr. Putin, in denouncing the operation, were unable to indicate its success.
The attack will distort the reputation of Russian security services and create “tremendous tension” in Russian society, as well as one of the famous bloggers supporting the Kremlin.
This is in line with Ukraine’s goals, analysts say. They also add another possible path, towards the end of the war.
