A massive explosion in the sky, the energy releases hundreds of times larger than Hiroshima bomb. Blindly flashes nearly a brightness like the sun. Strong shock waves are strong to settle everything for miles.
It may seem horrific, but the newly discovered asteroid size of the football field has a greater chance than one per cent to collision with the Earth in about eight years.
Such an impact has the possibility to destroy the city level, depending on the place it hits.
Scientists do not panic yet, but they are closely watching.
“At this stage,” Let’s give a lot of attention, let’s get the largest possible number of assets we can notice. “
What we know 2024 years and its chances of hitting the earth
It is called a name 2024 yr4The asteroid was first monitored on December 27, 2024, by the EL Observatory in Chile. Based on its brightness, astronomers estimate that it ranges between 130 and 300 feet.
“The aspect of this size affects the Earth on average every few thousand years and may cause severe damage to a local region,” the European Space Agency He said in a statement.
By New Year’s Eve, she had landed on the Kelly Fast office, Acting Planetary Defense Force at NASA, as an anxiety goal.
“You can get notes, and they are going down again. This looked as if he had the ability to circumvent it,” she told AFP.
The climbing risk evaluation continued, and on January 29, the IAwN asteroid warning network, a global collaboration of planetary defense, issued a memorandum.
According to the latest accounts of NASA’s jet laboratory, there is a chance of 1.6 % of the asteroid to hit the ground on December 22, 2032.
The asteroid 2024 YR4 is now classified as level 3 out of 10 Torino’s risk scaleIt is a “close meeting” that calls for attention from astronomers and the public.
If it succeeds, the potential influence sites across the East Pacific, North America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arab Sea, South Asia, and the iAwn note.
2024 YR4 follows a very four -year oval orbit, swinging through the inner planets before shooting on Mars and heading towards Jupiter.
Currently, he is old – will not come close to the next 2028.
“The possibilities are very good because this will not only hit the land, but at some point in the coming months to a few years, this possibility will go to scratch.”
A similar scenario reveals in 2004 with Apophis, it is initially expected that the asteroid will have a 2.7 percent chance to hit the Earth in 2029. More notes excluded an effect.
The “deadly city” category
The effect of the most famous asteroid in 66 million years occurred, when a satellite rock raised six miles in the world, as it eliminated dinosaurs and 75 percent of all kinds.
On the contrary, 2024 YR4 is located in the category of the “city murderer”.
“If you put it on Paris, London, or New York, you wipe the entire city and some suburbs,” Pits said.
The best recent comparison is the 1908 Tunguska event, when the asteroid or comet of 30-50 meters in Siberia exploded, which flattened 80 million trees across 770 square miles.
Such breasts, 2024 years are expected to explode in the sky, instead of leaving a hole on the ground.
“We can calculate energy … using block and speed,” said Andrew Revakkin, a planetary astronomy at the Johns Hopkins Physics Laboratory.
For 2024 years, the explosion of Airburst is equal to about eight megatons from TNT – more than 500 times the strength of the Hiroshima bomb.
If it explodes over the ocean, the effect will be less important, unless this happens near the coastal line that leads to tsunami.
It’s time to prepare
The good news, experts assure, is that we have time to prepare.
Revkkin led the investigation NASA 2022 dartAnd that succeeded in pushing an asteroid from its path using a spacecraft – a strategy known as “kinetic effect”.
The target asteroid did not pose any threat to the Earth, making it an ideal test subject.
“I don’t see why it will not work,” he said again. The biggest question is whether the major countries will finance such a task if their lands are not under its threat.
There are other experimental ideas.
The laser can evaporate part of the asteroid to create a payment effect, which pushes it away. The “gravitational tractor”, a large spacecraft, was also slowly avoided as the asteroid using its gravitational pull.
If everything fails, the long warning time means that the authorities can evacuate the effect of the effect.
“No one should be afraid of this,” said Fast. “We can find these things, make these predictions and have the ability to plan.”
However, NASA follows close approaches and calculates the possibilities of these space rocks – including asteroids and anis Nizak – that affect the Earth.
“The majority of organisms near the Earth have orbits that do not bring them near the ground, and therefore do not pose any danger of influence, but a small part of them-called potential, dangerous asteroids-require more attention,” according to The web site for the jetpox laboratory, which runs the center dedicated to studying things close to NASA.
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