US economy faces reckoning as some immigrants avoid workplaces

Ten days after the raids of federal immigration officials in Los Angeles, the national protest movement, a Spanish -desperate woman walking through the city’s Canoga Park neighborhood. She says she will not give her name to anxiety that she might risk troubles for herself or others.
In fact, you will not say much. But the quiet streets raises a wider phenomenon sweeping the United States.
“At the present time, we are hiding,” she says, noting that she is a legal resident in a society in which many others do not enjoy a government permission to live and work. “We don’t want to stand out.”
Why did we write this
The effect of the sweeping of President Donald Trump already feels that workers remain out of work for fear of arrest. At stake is the future of both individuals and their industries – from cultivation to construction to restaurants.
While President Donald Trump continues his promised campaign for collective deportation, the detention of work in both rural areas and large cities raises questions about the future of the American workforce and its economy, which has long depended on immigrants inside and outside the legal situation. In one of her latest campaign operations, federal agents said they had arrested 84 unauthorized migrants on June 17 in the Delta Downs track near Venton, Louisiana.
While it continues to goal Mr. Trump also pointed out that the “democratic -led immigration tactics” are “embodying good workers” from the farm, hotel and entertainment sectors. It is not clear what the impact of the immigration campaign, if any, is on economic indicators.
But while the effect of President Trump’s deportation may take time to register, the uncertainty caused by political attacks, muscle arrests, and deportation already affect.
In a series of changes during the past week, the Trump administration announced for the first time the arrests of unauthorized immigrants, and then after each other, I told immigration and customs (ICE) to Temporary On farms, hotels and restaurants, the New York Times reported. On Sunday, Minister of Agriculture Brock Rollins posted on X that she fully supports “deportations for every illegal foreigner.”
As of this week, the Trump administration was said to have reflected previous orders to spare farms and other companies from the raids. All this comes at a time when the administration pays “self -identification” and conduct arrests in sensitive sites such as Immigration courts.
The work site raids are not new. Even if the administration is I mentioned The target of 3000 arrests was reached a day – and those arrests have become deportation – the country will largely decrease from the removal of all America estimated 13.7 million unauthorized immigrants in four years.
When the high alert becomes a new natural matter
Unauthorized immigrants are now approximately 1 out of every 10 American workers, according to Pio Research Center. more than a fourth Among them in the construction and agriculture industries. The Institute of Taxes and Economic Policy estimated that unauthorized workers paid 96.7 billion dollars in taxes in 2022, including $ 19.5 billion of federal income tax. (The total paid by all Americans in federal income taxes in 2022 was $ 2.1 trillion.)
from Raspberry fields From Oxenard, California to A. Meat In Omaha, Nebraska, reports kept the arrest of the last targeted work and their preachers at maximum alert.
In Donna, Texas, farmers Nick Bellman now arrives at the fields alone, although he says his vitage has legal worksheets. “Zero workers” appeared since the last ice began Rayo Grandi Valley raidsHe says.
“What is happening now is rumors … that even if you have a work visa or work on citizenship, you will wander with its rest,” says Mr. Bellman. “It makes people sit at home.”
However, throughout the country, American employers and migrant employees began to talk about the broader consequences of collective deportation. Their concerns indicate the practical issues that have long neglected the reconciliation of labor markets, border security and public positions on immigration.
“We have never been discovered as a nation that must be done with the national feelings that we need to restrict immigration – reality on the ground, which is that immigrants are doing a lot of work,” says Leticia Sausido, a professor at the University of California, Davis School for Law.
Now, Professor Saucedo says that the administration is fighting with the potential economic impact of Mr. Trump’s deportation, which helped re -election.
Farmers, such as Robert Dicky, the Republican Republican representative in Georgia, are among the most powerful supporters of the Republican Party agenda.
To date, the workers of the actor dickyy here appear in seasonal work visas in his satire and wood menus. But this, as he understands, can change.
“It is necessary to make the agricultural industry competitive,” he says. To do this, “you must have these workforce.”
Where the policy meets an hour of punch
His language is part of the “sustainability question” because unique skills and work ethics in migrant work meets major demands in the American economy.
Professor Kushir says: “In the past few days, the injury explains,” explains tension inside the White House itself on how to deal with the policy of enforcement of immigration when you have Republican supporters who are business owners, members of the working class, and construction workers … [working against] Pressure from Stephen Miller and Tom Human Wing, who say, “everyone deportes.”
Modern work enforcement can be returned to 1986, when President Ronald Reagan signed a law to reform and monitor immigration. He explained what will become a great legacy of the migration of the Republican President: Allowing an estimated 3 million people to earn a legal status.
The law provided civil and criminal penalties to employers who intentionally rented unauthorized workers. Separately, it is illegal for migrants to use wrong documents to work. However, problems related to the process of verifying documents contributed to the continuous employment of unauthorized migrants.
While the White House Trump often criticized the Biden administration because of the historical rises in the illegal border crossings, many of them were here for decades. Unauthorized immigrants make up 3.3 % of the total American population as of 2022, According to To the Pew Research Center.
“The enforcement of the cornerstone of work in our efforts to protect public safety, national security and economic stability.”
The work site raids can be useful for enforcing the wider, as supporters say. Jerry Robinet, a former internal security investigative official at the era of George W. Bush and Obama, said that the previous campaign against large companies led to hundreds of arrest, but also “a voluntary response from many industry that wants to weaken self … to avoid the Ice investigation of their company and employees.”
So far, it is not clear how many times they are not authorized to go to work, a step that endangers their ability to support their families.
President Trump says he urged ICE to make raids in larger “haven” cities like Los Angeles, Chicago and New York.
When workers do not return to work
This does not prevent raids from “echoes for all parts of the migrant community.”
“usually [ICE will carry out raids] “It is just enough to pay people underground and take bad wages, but they will eventually stay here, and the economy will work. We are now pressing it. We go to an unprecedented area.”
While research indicates that immigrants are submitting a file Net interest For the economy, analysts also notice that former migrants and workers born in indigenous newly -skilled jobs are likely to face negative impacts of wages from immigration. Meanwhile, some immigrants are exploited under a system that implicitly accepts the large population of unauthorized persons.
Jilberto Alvarez, at the present time, is an employer left to hold the castle. The director of the Denny Restaurant, South Los Angeles, watched those who are believed to be federal agents who meet in his parking lot. The employees were afraid, he says. Some took the week a leave and did not return to work yet.
He says that Mr. Alvarez and the other managers are taking the recession, and the restaurant will be fine for a few months, if he runs it properly. But if this continues for a longer period, it will be “in a bad place.”
However, some immigration enforcement experts argue that partial slowdown or increased pressure from agricultural or hospitality interests can affect the future procedures of the administration.
Actor Dicky, the Georgian peaches farmer in central Georgia, met with the Minister of Agriculture Rollins recently during a Washington trip to pressure to relief the hurricane and a long -term solution for immigrant workers.
“The administration hasn’t done anything to harm us yet, but we hope they can do something to help,” he says.
Los Angeles, who once welcomed Orvilland Martinez with open arms, is now a place where dances are monitored by immigration agents.
Mrs. Martinez has sought to resort 30 years ago from Guatemala. Today, she is an American citizen living with her sister, north of Los Angeles.
People in their society are mostly immigrants, and most of them are of Spanish origin. They work on nearby farms, as landscapes, children’s bond, home or restaurant workers, or building workers.
She says her experience in immigration was positive for years. She says that the officer who worked with her on citizenship is “treated me like a family.” However, it maintains the risk of minimal days, like others in its society. Although it is legally here, she says, “If we do not have to go out, we do not come out. Just a state.”
Not only their future, it is also the labor market in the foundation industries, which is attached to balance.