Not so long ago, the New York City mayor’s race seemed to provide a quick way to salvation for former democratic ruler Andrew Como.
Mr. Como, a descendant of a political family in New York, has been planning to return to public life since his resignation in 2021 amid multiple sexual harassment allegations (he denied). When the current mayor, Eric Adams accusation On charges of corruption last fall, it created a sudden void in the race – a person’s golden opportunity with a recognition of Mr. Como and contracts of experience.
However, in the period before the preliminary elections on Tuesday, the democratic competition greatly tightened.
Why did we write this
In the New York City mayor’s race, the confrontation is tested by generations, in extreme democratic voters. The result may prove an early indication of how the party generally confronts the Trump administration.
The ruler determines three times a late challenge from Zahran Mamdani, a member of the New York State Association of Queens and democratic socialism in the early thirties, where he handed over the younger voters in the city, pledged to freeze rents, made buses free, and building more affluent housing.
The city’s observer, Brad Lander, also drew attention in the closing days, after it was Arrest Through the ICE and Customs enforcement agents last week while accompanying an immigrant outside the court. A fourth candidate, head of the city council, Adrian Adams (has nothing to do with the mayor), is trying to mobilize black -class black voters, a major demographic group on which Mr. Como depends. The remaining candidates are voting in one low numbers.
While Mr. Komo has constantly led opinion polls, the race has become less than the coronation than Como than to confront generations – and a mini design for the greater Democratic Party struggle to settle on a clear vision to restore power in the Trump era.
New York mayor’s elections come at a time when the largest city of America is wrestling, most of which are very democratic, with how to pay the Trump administration policies. President Donald Trump threatens to focus the deportation efforts on blue cities in particular. New York voters in New York will indicate their leadership in the next few years to the type of fighter they want – and whether ideological leftists in the Democratic Party or moderate practical people may have the upper hand to move forward.
“This relates to an ideology and the best way to respond against the city’s anti -city and state policies in the Trump administration,” says Cathy Wilde, CEO of New York City, who represents the city’s business leaders. “Is it better to rebel and create civil disturbances from the left, or try to move in the bites?
The winner of the option elections on Tuesday may not be immediately clear. If no candidate has reached 50 % in the first ballot, the votes will be redistributed by the least -performing candidates, according to the voters’ preferences, until the winner appears.
Anyone who will win in the general elections for November against mayor Adams, who is now nominated as an independent, after the Trump Ministry of Justice brought down the charges against him. Job approval assessments have reached the mayor Low This spring. Republican candidate is Curtis Sliwa, a radio dialogue program and the founder of Stoppers Guardian Angels CRIME, who installed unacceptable essential offers.
A city that is not satisfied with its leaders
Although Democrats exceeded the number of Republicans among the city’s voters by 6 to 1, the population of New York has chosen Republican mayors in the past. Republican Rudi Juliani won two periods in the nineties, followed by Michael Bloomberg, a Republican, for two other periods (Mr. Bloomberg became independent in 2007).
After the Bloomberg era, the city’s policy turned into the left. The progressive Bill de Pacio was elected to the slope, who carried a campaign to reduce increased inequality, for two periods. He left his position in 2021 with depressing reconnaissance figures after implementing controversial policies on the police and trial, and amid the broader challenges for Covid-19.
Mayor Adams, a former police officer who was running as a more moderate democracy, was behind Mr. De Placio by resuming black, Latin and Asian voters of the middle and middle class who worried that the city has become non -law and functional mixing.
Since then, the American and Latin American societies in the city I sleptThanks to the migration boom, while many young families priced from housing and child care Move away. You lost New York 546,000 Population between April 2020 and July 2023, many of them occurred in the hour of Mr. Adams, before adding 87000 People last year, according to census data.
The most prominent mayor Adams is the decline in Crime and shooting crimes During his term. But his record was marred by his federal accusation on charges that before the donations of the foreign campaign, the discounts of airlines and the hotel in exchange for expediting construction and safety permits in the skyscraper at the Turkish consulate.
Soon after Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential elections, Mayor Adams began pressure on the president and his advisers to drop the charges, while saying he will cooperate with the deportation plans in the White House. When the officials of the Justice Ministry refused the charges in February, the city’s and state leaders called the mayor to resign.
State governor Cathy Hochol, a democrat, eventually refused to remove the mayor, saying that she would leave the future of Mr. Adams’s political for voters in the city. Opinion polls show more than 3 out of 4 of the 4 Democrats who believe that the city is moving in the wrong direction, and he wants nearly three quarters to oppose their candidate, President Trump.
“There is a feeling that things are out of control, but not from the crime perspective,” says Hank Xinkopf, a New York -based political advisor. “They want young people to stay, but they don’t want to pay a lot for rent. They want to return more money in their pockets.”
Youth for experience
Mr. Mamdani seized the imagination and enthusiasm of the left with a vibrant new campaign aimed at addressing economic concerns of the smallest voters in the city. A immigrant came to the United States at the age of seven, he will be the first Muslim mayor in New York.
Vincent Dairy/New York Times/Aug
A large number of clear advertisements have issued social media that dealt with the ability to bear the costs in the city, and collected approvals from the New York MP, Alexandria Okasio Cortez, and the Senator Fairmont Bernie Sanders, and obtained a surplus to praise On the discussion of Mr. De Placio.
Meanwhile, Mr. Como called for his heavy democratic tools, with approvals at the last minute of former President Bill Clinton and South Carolina Jim Claiborn. Mr. Como held the position of Secretary of Mr. Clinton for Housing and Urban Development.
The former ruler refused to participate in many candidates during the campaign, while collecting approvals from some union leaders and elected officials who called for him He resigned four years ago.
People call it the garden of roses [campaign]”It is less than a pink park,” says George Arz, a political advisor who suggests that Mr. Como’s efforts to play may be a miscalculation.
Most opinion polls refer to two people. In the Marist poll, Mr. Como outperformed Mr. Mamdani by 55 % to 45 % after seven rounds of voting, while Mr. Lander was eliminated in the sixth round after reaching 13 %.
But the rapid rise of Mr. Mamdani made the city’s business community tense. This month, the former mayor Bloomberg, Executive and CEO, Support Mr. Como and contributed 8.3 million dollars To Super Pac from Cuomo, City Repair. The Political Action Committee raised 24 million dollarsMany of them donated it by Wall Street CEOs and headquarters, which he poured into advertisements and anti -Mamadani television. Mr. Mamdani, for his part, collection 8 million dollars Of the 19,000 donors and the identical city campaign program.
New York Times and New York Post as well Urging Their readers do not arrange Mr. Mamdani on their voices, as the times described his experience as “very thin”. The paper confirmed her objections to “Ethics and Conduct of Mr. Como”, but she said it would be “better for the future of New York than Mr. Mamdani.”
Mrs. Wilde says that business leaders are eager to repeat the era of De Placio, especially at a time when the White House seems to be new ways to strengthen New York City.
“We had a very progressive mayor that was divisive, and tracked the wealthy, the real estate industry, and the greed of companies,” she says. “We need to unify our various interests in facing very serious threats to federal financing discounts and collective deportation efforts that can destabilize the city and send it to an economic shrinkage.”
Voters who are controlled by the race by television ads that criticize Mr. Mamdani Limited experience, in addition to his previous support to calm the police and his position in the Israeli war in Gaza. In recent days, Mr. Como Attack Mr. Mamdani for his appearance to defend the phrase “globalization of the uprising” in an interview. New York City has the largest Jewish population outside Israel.
In response, Mr. Mamdani told reporters, “It is certain that he was called an anti -consistency,” and criticized the Super PACS attacks to finance him. In the middle of this controversy, ICE agents arrested Mr. Lander in a migration court, accused him of assaulting and hindering a federal officer after he linked weapons to someone trying to detain him. Mr. Lander, who denied both charges, was released, and the charges were dropped. The incident sparked the headlines of national newspapers and may have gave Lander an explosion late in the momentum.
Added the option vote
The unusual voting system in the city can complicate the result.
Voters can classify up to five candidates for preference. If no candidate gets 50 % in the first round of the tables, the filter with the lowest number of votes is dropped, then their votes are redistributed between the remaining candidates. This process is repeated until one candidate appears by a majority.
Mr. Mamdani and Mr. Lander crossed each other, and urged their supporters to classify the other candidate as their second choice.
Historically, the participation rate during the city preliminary elections in the city ranged between 20 % and 25 % of the voters. But participating in early voting this year was more than Twice higher It was in 2021. The first voters in Brooklyn and Manhattan surpassed those in the other three town, while more than one -fifth of those who threw the polling cards before the election day between the ages of 25 and 34 years, according to what he said. Election council.
This could be a good sign of Mr. Mamdani, who led Mr. Como among the inheritance of Brooklyn and performed a good title with voters under the age of 45. Mr. Como will likely need black and senior voters on the polling sites on Tuesday to match the early gains of Mr. Mamdani.
Meanwhile, the drama can continue last June.
The working families party, a progressive political party, can choose Mr. Mamdani to run Polling line This fall should fall short on Tuesday. Mr. Como can Run On his third -party line if he loses democratic preliminary elections.
Regardless of the results, some observers say Mr. Mamdani shook the amazing New York policy.
“Zahran was running a more intelligent campaign directed towards people under the age of 40 who suffer from a crisis of ability to afford costs,” says Mr. Xinbov. “In Mamdani, voters are looking for an unknown amount to relieve their pain.”
