The ceasefire between Iran and Israel was announced on Monday by President Donald Trump amid some doubts about whether these countries were already on board.
A few hours later, some analysts were suspended as an example of the effectiveness of great but limited use of US military force.
The ceasefire came in the wake of a huge military strike on Sunday, in which the United States followed Israel in attacking Iranian nuclear facilities. President Trump quickly declared “overwhelming success”, and from the viewpoint of the US military, this was already the case.
Why did we write this
Iran attacked an American military base in response to the bombing of its nuclear sites. The American bases in the Middle East are still a maximum alert in a truce.
The Chairman of the Pillars of the Pillar on that day said that the Midnight Hammer operation, as it was a name, was a “complex, high -risk task” that includes deception tactics such as Decoy Stealth Bombers, General Dan Kane, head of the participating staff team, later that day. He added that no single shot known on the B-2 bomber was launched.
The risks extend beyond this attack. By Monday, Iran was aiming at missiles at the airbed of the airbone in Qatar, the largest military installation in America in the Middle East. Warning sirens in the United States in Iraq and Kuwait have made the American forces confront potential additional attacks.
The non -interventions, many of whom are Republicans, pointed out that 40,000 American soldiers in the region are weak as evidence of their point of view. “If we do not have forces in the area, they will not be able to hit us at all,” says Rosemary Keelnik, director of the Middle East program at Defens Priority Tank. “We have given them hostages in the form of our members in these military bases that they can threaten. I think they will do.”
Congress Research Service, Council of Foreign Relations
|
Jacob Turcotte/Employees
Within one hour, revenge Wallers were considered a procedure to save the face, allowing Tehran to respond while reducing the possibilities of escalation. It turned out that Iran gave Qatar head to the barrage, which Qatar moved, according to the United States
In a late post on Monday afternoon, President Trump thanked Iran for the “early notice”, adding that 13 Iranian missiles had “demolished” and 14 “free” were not threatened.
“Perhaps Iran can now proceed with peace and harmony in the region, and I will enthusiastically encourage Israel to do the same.”
American goal: Iranian nuclear sites
Defense Minister Beit Higseth had moved to the podium in the first Pentagon press room ever briefing on Sunday to confirm that the Iranian forces or the Iranian people are the goal of the American army, and that the United States was not seeking war.
“This task was not and was not about changing the system,” he said. President Trump “was completely committed to the peace process” and “he wanted a negotiating result.”
Minister Higseth added that the military goal of the operation is “the destruction or deterioration of the Iranian nuclear program strongly.”
Analysts said this or “or” was a key. They added that the teams can distinguish Tehran on a more firm nuclear weapons race – or end his endeavor, and transfer it to the negotiating table.
It seems that the American offer of force prompted Iran to bargain. It remains to see whether her nuclear ambitions will end.
Iran has always been driven by following nuclear weapons because it sees it “the final deterrent. Iran is right,” Emily Harding, Vice -President of the Ministry of Defense and Security at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, wrote in an analysis of Monday. As evidence, it does not look further than North Korea (which has) or Ukraine (which has not faced invasion by Russia).
Ms. Harding said that President Trump’s decision to launch Tehran’s nuclear sites “given Western concerns that nuclear armed Iran would destabilize the region, was the” correct call. “
On Sunday, Trump administration officials were declaring that it was definitely.
“The American deterrence has returned,” said Mr. Higseth.
How deteriorating the Iranian nuclear program?
Now attention will turn into an Iranian ability to make nuclear weapons at the end of the week.
Industrial satellites show that Iranian trucks were coming and frequently went from Iranian nuclear plants in the period before the bombing of Sunday, which are likely to give up fertilized uranium deposits and central expulsion, and arms control expert Jeffrey Lewis, a professor at the Middlebberry Institute for International Studies in Monterey, a school in Midelbiri in Vermont, was not.
News reports stated that the photos show up to 16 shipping trucks near the Fordo facility on June 19 and 20 and indicate that these trucks may have been used to transport uranium stocks in Iran or admission tunnels before the attacks. Reports stated that the trucks were moving unidentified contents about half a mile. Iranian government media reported that the three sites were evacuated before the strikes.
The United Nations Nuclear Agency, the International Atomic Energy Agency, may have a major role in indexing that parts of the Iranian nuclear program have been eliminated, and what parts remain.
The Iranian Army Press Service/AP
Therefore, “they will need Iran’s cooperation – or at least the cooperation of people who know about all of these assets and stocks,” says Andrea Strickler, deputy director of the Non -Proliferation and Biomed Program at the Foundation for Defense of Democrats Research.
In the absence of this, there is a threat to waving on the horizon that can be taken additional military measures.
Meanwhile, the American military forces in the area remain alert for potential violations of the ceasefire, or clips of armed groups are often described as Iranian agents, but not always completely owned by Tehran.
Although these groups have generally weakened because of the Israeli attacks on Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as by us the strikes against the Houthis, all three groups maintain capabilities to attack American military interests in places such as Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, says Brian Clark, colleagues at the Hadeson Institute.
“Protection of power is something that leaders do constantly,” says Colonel Martin Odonil, a spokesman for the NATO Supreme Alliance leadership. “It is clear, in light of recent events, that this continuous evaluation becomes much more important.”
