As U.S. and Iran look to begin nuclear talks amid fresh sanctions, can there be a deal?

The risks of fresh nuclear conversations between the United States and Iran are not planned this weekend.

Israel, which sees Iran as an existential threat, and the United States sees Iran as a rogue system determined to follow the weapons of mass destruction that will stop in a little to undermine its opponents.

IranAt the same time, the leadership leadership is facing the abandonment of its nuclear aspirations, which is likely to make it more vulnerable Israel and we.

While Iran has always denied that it wanted to develop nuclear weapons, senior officials have repeatedly said that if it was attacked, this will change and eventually push it towards building a nuclear bomb.

President Donald Trump revealed the upcoming negotiations in a sudden announcement on Monday while he was standing next to the Iranian arc leader, the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

While Trump described the discussions as “direct” talks with Tehran, the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi She quickly faced the saying that the negotiations will be indirect, at least at the present time.

The White House did not answer questions about the contradiction.

The indirect conversations are likely to work as a “starting point and a communication bridge” to help the two sides understand each other, according to Anis Bassiri Tabrizi, a co -fellow of the Chatham House program in the Middle East and North Africa.

She said, “It is possible that they are the maximum of any follow -up conversation they may have,” she said. “We have to remember that there was no direct participation between the United States and Iran for a period of time.”

A difficult conversation

The American team takes a difficult situation with talks this week, as the United States issued new sanctions on Wednesday.

It will be suspended discussions in the Kingdom of Oman TrumpThe threat is that if the talks fail to achieve results, “Iran will be in great danger.” Trump threatened to bomb Iran if he refused to conclude a deal on the future of its nuclear program.

It was an attempt to end the Iranian nuclear program that resumed Trump from his first term, when he removed the United States from the 2015 teacher Iranian nuclear dealOfficially known as the name A comprehensive comprehensive work plan. Under JCPOA, Iran agreed to dismantle a lot of its nuclear program and allow its facilities to be searched in exchange for the reduction of sanctions.

Trump withdrew from JCPOA because, as he said, it was a “terrible one deal” that did not address the ballistic missile program in Tehran nor its network of agents throughout the region. The American move angered the Iranian government after it adhered to the conditions that signed the signed agreement with the Obama administration and five other international powers.

Saturday talks also come yet repeat Warnings From Raphael Ghosti, head of the United Nations Nuclear Control Agency, the International Atomic Energy Agency, which Iran was “greatly accelerating” enriching uranium by up to 60 %, approaching the level of 90 % about 90 %, which constitutes a degree of weapons.

In the opening in Washington PostAraghchi confirmed that there was no evidence that Tehran had violated its commitment not to request nuclear weapons. “It was ready to clarify our peaceful intention and take the necessary measures to calm any possible concern.”

Meanwhile, the conflict in the Gaza Strip, which consumed the Middle East during the year and a half last year, witnessed two of Iran’s major allies in what is known as the resistance axis, Hamas and Hezbollah, strongly weak by Israeli forces, with Washington, which is increasingly aimed at Hogan in Yemen.

“Very high price”

Richard Delelov, former head of the British Intelligence Agency MI6, told NBC News in interview On Thursday, it is believed that the Trump administration will demand a very high price. ” – Iran has abandoned its entire nuclear program, whether for energy or weapons.

“I think there is a summary of the bottom for Trump and Israel that Iran should not have a nuclear ability,” he said.

Sayed Hussein Mossavian, a security and negative policy specialist at the University of Princeton and a former spokesperson for Iran in its nuclear negotiations with the West, said he does not believe that if talks fail this week in production such as “direct alternative” is the war.

On his part, Trump has not provided a little reassurance, a warning on Monday: “If the conversations are not successful, I think it would be a very bad day for Iran.”

Tabrizi said: “Iran is certain in a different position from the place where it was, for example, in 2016 or even in 2023,” noting that “many have occurred throughout the year and a half,” alone, with Tehran’s agents weakened.

Mossavian agreed, saying that both sides will use indirect talks as an opportunity to “evaluate each other and the intentions of the other side.”

But the time is essence. With Iranian agents weakening strongly, damaged air defenses in clashes with Israel believe last year, and Israel and the Republic in Washington believed that this moment is mature military action against Iranian nuclear sites.