The first base man in Toronto Blue Jays should not fail to sign the first al -Qaeda man Vladimir Guerrero Junior to extend the contract. Over the past six years, Jays has made one mistake after another in an attempt to build a long-term relationship with all-strat four times.
Guerrero is scheduled to become a free agent at the end of the season after he was unable to reach an agreement before the deadline on Tuesday, the date of the first full exercise of the team. While it was opening the possibility of re -signature with Toronto, it would reach the open market that enters its season at the age of 27, at a time when New York Mits and New York Yanxiz were among the clubs that might follow the first rule.
Ross Atkins, General Manager Blue Gaiz, told the correspondents on Tuesday that the team “worked hard” to keep Serrero. But as club president Mark Shapiro said, “When it comes to the completion of a deal, this is done or not.” None of the executive director was ready to reveal the details of the negotiations.
Jayez, most likely, fell under a general, will lose it in a free agency.
Both the result will be a severe blow to the fans who have grown to adore Guerro as a local star, then Jays watched Miss Ali Shuhai Utani, Juan Soto and other free factors in the past two Sersin. But the relationship between Guerro and the current front office of Jays was rarely easy.
Jayez plans to manipulate the time of the Guerro service at the beginning of his career, to a salary arbitration session in 2024, over the years made him a series of extension offers that he considered insufficient.
These offers, according to a source that was briefed on the history of Guerrero with the club, failed to recognize the dynamics in the market. By responding immediately to these dynamics, Gayz has closed Guerrero a much less than in recent weeks.
General Motors Ross Atkins, the left, left two years in his contract while club president Mark Shapiro enters the right in the last year of his deal. The pressure on them now increases significantly. (Mark Blinch / Getty Images)
The first relevant comparison that Jays had an insufficient response was the 340 -year -old, which is $ 340 million, San Diego Padres, Fernando Tatis Junior in February 2021. The last, apparently, was the New York Mettz Luuan Soto to A record number of 15 years and $ 765 million.
It is reasonable to assume that Guerro wants 14 years old, who is less than Soto, who was smaller than a year enters a free agency. The average annual standard value of the first base man is Miguel Caprera $ 31 million. For Guerrero, AAV will produce $ 35 million with a total value of $ 490 million. It will increase $ 40 million from AAV to $ 560 million. Crazy numbers, perhaps, for the player with the type of 6 -foot and 245 pounds. But even in the end, more than 200 million dollars are less than Soto.
Jays also made a Sotot offer, with a total guarantee of less than $ 700 million, According to Sportsnet. SOTO, which exceeds the profession+ 60 percent higher than average periodic, is more consistent and accomplished than Guerrero, whose profession has 37 percent. Although Guerrero rates are lower than average in the least valuable position on the defensive spectrum, SOO also occupies a spot less than that, and it is not a special skilled player.
The first -time base in Mets Alonso is to secure a long -term deal with job OPS+ 34 percent higher than average periodic league may serve as a warning sign for Guerrero. But Guerreo is a better hit than Alonso and more than four years younger. It also starts the second best attack season, while Alonso represents a decrease.
The age difference is an important factor when assessing the values of players. From Price Harper to Mane Machado to Soto, the general free agents are generally made with more profit deals. It will cover a 14 -year deal for Guerrero from the age of 27 to 40 seasons. On the contrary, Harun’s contract covers a nine -year -old with Yanxiz from 31 to 39.
Durability is another factor that works for Guerrero. Like his father, Vladimir Guerrero, the father, Guerrero Junior proved the basic pillar. The father Guerrero, in his 14th seasons, appeared in 150 games or more than nine times and 140 or more three times. Guerrero Jr. It was not in the affected list. In all the matches of 60 of the brief season of 2020, an average has been 159 games since then.
The debate on the younger Guerrero value will continue throughout the 2025 season and in its free agency. In the past, Jayz Al -Azraq, definitely regretted not extending it earlier. But the differences in the ways they dealt with Guerrero and Padres dealt with Tatis, starting with their primary promotional shows for major championships.
Jays was delayed by free Guerrero for one year when they were I kept it in the palace In the first month of the 2019 season, the step became easier when it is Suffer In the spring training. Padres took the opposite approach with Tatis. Instead of manipulating his service time, they included him on the opening day list in 19, knowing that he may lead to his loss after six years instead of seven years.
Any concern about Tatis’s possible departure when Padres signed a 14 -year deal in 2021. Guerrero, who played for $ 60,400 in that season, higher than the minimum league, began to leave, which led to a high level of profession with 48 runs on Its land, OPS+ 67 percent above the average periodic. At that point, it was certain that he would have accepted a deal similar to Tatsis. But Jayez is likely to decline in the hypothesis.
Tatis contract was at a time when the third largest in the history of the main league was signed. It was short at that time, and still is more sporty than Ghairo. But Guerrero in his four years of arbitration ended with $ 70.8 million. If Jays match Tatis, Guerrero would have made $ 269.2 million over the age of the agent 10-perhaps hundreds of millions less than his request.
Guerrero fell in 2022, and instead of signing an extension, he settled on a salary of $ 14.5 million in arbitration for ’23. The following year, after another season of slope, Jays took him to a hearing. The arbitrator’s ruling for 19.9 million dollars in the Jayez $ 18.05 million request. He was the highest salary ever in a hearing.
Gaiz did not dare take Guerrero to a hearing again this season, and seeks to avoid the conflict while trying to sign it along. The parties settled at $ 28.5 million, giving Guerro the third highest salary for the player to arbitrate, after Soto at a price of $ 31 million and Shahi Utani at a price of $ 30 million. But the long -term deal has proven out of reach.
The failure to complete an agreement with Guerrero leaves Jays at a crossroads with Shapiro enter the last year of its contract and after Atkins left only two years in a deal. The inherited front office, which was signed by the front office of Anthopoulos, from the Dominican Republic for $ 3.9 million in July 2015. Shapiro took over the position of the team leader after three months, then Atkins came after Antopoulos refused to extend the contract.
Jays team, using the players who were mostly won by Anthopoulos, to the 2016 American League championship series in their first season under the leadership of Shapiro and ATKINS. They have not won a decisive match since then. Perhaps this will change after a season outside the season in which they got the second al -Qaeda man Andres Jiminies in a trade and signed the afternoon player Anthony Santander. But the team is now facing the losses of two local pillars, Guerrero and Shortstop Bo Bichette, which also enters the year of walking.
With Guerrero, at least, this is not necessary to reach this.
(The highest image of Guerrero: Julian Avram / ICON SPORTSWIRE via Getty Images)
