One of the first reports on forest fires throughout Los Angeles earlier this month, scientists could say that climate change had increased fire. Certainly, forest fires will burn in California regardless of planetary warming, but very dry fuel was I turned the scene into Tinder. The resulting fire, which was carried out by Santa Anna, was burned for winds, which has an area of 100 miles per hour, on an area of 50,000 acres. They killed at least 28 people and destroyed more than 16,000 buildings, perhaps causing Hundreds of billions of dollars Of economic damage and losses.
A More comprehensive analysis On Tuesday, it was found that these dry and very hot conditions were 35 percent more likely thanks to climate change. The rain that begins in October usually reduces the scene of southern California, which reduced the danger of the wildfire, but the rain in the fall and winter was about 2.4 times more likely when compared to the pre -industry climate, according to the study conducted by World Weatherrtive, It is based in the UK research set. The area has now been found 23 additional days of fire conditions every year, which means more opportunities for the spread of fire outside the scope of control.
“The conditions of drought often push in the winter, which increases the opportunity to shoot during the strong winds of Santa Anna, which can convert small ignitions into fatal hell “. , In a statement. “Without a faster transition away from the fossil fuel that heats up the planet, California will continue to become hotter, more dry and flammable.”
The main driver of these catastrophic forest fires is “”Weather Cinelash“The report is observed. Wet seasons become more moisture, and as a result of being a hotter atmosphere capable of keeping more moisture, while dry seasons are increasing dry. In the previous two winter, Los Angeles got great rains, which led to the explosive growth of herbs and shrubs After that, a key in the atmosphere was reversed, and the capital did not get almost any rain between May 2024, so all these additional plants dried up. Climate, “very wet years with growing lush vegetation. The author of the report, in the statement.
in Separate analysis It was released on January 13, and researchers at the University of California, Los Angeles, found that climate change can be blamed nearly a quarter of the drying of the plants that were burned in fires, which they described as a conservative appreciation. The study also found that weather Whiplash in the region has placed the theater for disasters. “With a warmer climate, you also have what people call an” thirsty “atmosphere trying to put as much moisture as possible.”
Then the seasonal winds of Santa Anna came at the beginning of January, which blew up strong and dry. Within hours or even minutes, this air can embody the vegetation. All it takes was sparks for several forest fires to spread quickly. Santa Anna’s winds not only pushing these fires along with a breathtaking speed, but also created an unpredictable vocals that made fire act wrongly. Which made forest fires very difficult – especially for team Disabled and the elderly in particular I struggle to evacuate in time. “From a realistic point of view, this was a perfect storm when it was related to the conditions of fire disasters,” said John Abatezlo, the climate scientist at the University of California, Mercyid, and the co -author of the world’s weather assignment report.
Perhaps the conditions in southern California may increase from here. Global weather assignment analysis estimates that fire conditions in the region will likely become 35 percent if the world is 2.6 degrees Celsius above pre -industrial levels.
As climate change affected the Los Angeles fires, some factors work separately. For anyone, climate change does not create the winds of Santa Anna. Scientists do not expect Santa Ana’s winds to become stronger while heating the planet – it may become a little weaker – although this will require more research to excite. Two, humans raise the vast majority of forest fires in California, whether it is with electrical lines, fireworks or intentional burning. Finally, the developers continue to build homes in the plant “wild urban facade”, where the risk of a wildfire is severe.
This increasing risk represents a hard challenge to societies during rebuilding. For example, home owners have to keep their arenas free of vegetation and build fire -resistant building materials, which become expensive. Park Williams, a geographical at the University of California, Los Angeles, said: -author of the global weather support report, in the statement.
