WASHINGTON (AP)-Prepare for several years of the standard temperature that pushes the Earth to the utmost murderer, calm and uncomfortable, expecting two of the best weather agencies in the world.
There is an 80 % chance in the world, the world will destroy another annual temperature record in the next five years, and it is more likely that the world will again exceed the international temperature threshold that was identified 10 years ago, according to expectations of five years on Wednesday by the World Meteorological Organization and the Meteorological Office in the United Kingdom.
“The higher global medium temperatures may seem abstract, but in real life translate into a higher chance of harsh weather: Hurricanes are stronger“The strongest rain, drought”, said, “So the higher global temperatures translate into more missing lives,” said Natalie Mahwald, Climate Climate Scientist, who was not part of the accounts.
With each degree of temperature heats the world The climate change caused by a person “We will face higher frequency and more extreme events (especially heat waves, but also droughts, floods, fires, hurricanes/hurricanes/hurricanes enhanced human),” he sent an email to Johann Roxterom, director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate effect research in Germany. It was not part of the research.
For the first time there is an opportunity – albeit slight – before the end of the contract, the annual temperature in the past world will be launched The goal of the Paris Climate Agreement is to reduce warming to 1.5 ° C (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) And hitting more disturbing degrees (3.6 ° F) of heating since the mid -nineteenth century, the two closters said.
There is an 86 % chance that one of the next five years pass 1.5 degrees and the 70 % opportunity for the five years to be more than this global landmark, and they are considered.
Expectations come from more than 200 expectations using computer simulations that are run by 10 global centers for scientists.
Ten years ago, the same teams calculated that there is a similar opportunity from a distance – about 1 % – that one of the coming years will exceed that minimum specified by 1.5 degrees and Then it happened last year. This year, a percentage of two -year -old -two -year -olds is entered into a similar way, something that has met in the United Kingdom longer in long -term predictions Adam Skaif and science scientist Leon Hermanson “shock”.
Hermanson said: “This is not something that anyone wants to see, but this is what science tells us.” Two grades of warming are the secondary threshold, which is less likely to break, which was defined by the 2015 Paris Agreement.
Technically, although 2024 was 1.5 degrees Celsius more warmer than before the industrial quarter, the climate agreement threshold in Paris is for a period of 20 years, so it has not been overlooked. In the past ten years and predicting during the next ten years, the world may now be about 1.4 ° C (2.5 degrees Fahrenheit) more hotter since the mid -nineteenth century, and the Meteorological Meteorological Services Director, Chris Hewitt, has presented.
“With the expectations of the next five years more than 1.5 ° C warmer than pre -industrial levels on average, this will put more people more than ever at the risk of severe thermal waves, Bring more deaths And severe health effects unless people are better protected from the effects of heat. We can also expect The most severe forest fires Richard Bings, head of climate research at Met Office in the UK and Professor at the University of Exeter, said.
Hiite said that the snow in the Arctic – which will continue to heat 3.5 times faster than the rest of the world – will melt and the seas will end faster.
The scientists said that what tends to happen is that global temperatures rise like riding on Salem, with temporary and natural weather cycles in Nino that behave like jumps up or down on this elevator. But recently, after each leap from Nino, which adds warming to the world, The planet does not return much, at all.
“The registration temperatures have become immediately the new natural,” said Rob Jackson, the climate scientist at Stanford University.
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