Developing countries call on the rich world to challenge the American president, Donald TrumpAnd the global gap on climate work, before the goal of reducing global temperatures is lost on irreversible levels.
Diplomats from the poor world gather to support Brazil, which will host the decisive climate summit in NovemberAfter last year’s talks in Azerbaijan, it ended with disappointment and intensity.
Ali Mohamed, head of the African group of negotiators, and the Kenya Special Climate Envoy, pointed to the record of temperatures last year and the continued harsh weather. He said: “Africa, responsible for less than 4 % of global greenhouse gas emissions, are still not affected by the effects of climate change intensification.” “It is unacceptable that this destruction is the result of the pollution of a few countries in the world, specifically the Group of Twenty, and they must take responsibility for their actions.”
In addition to the need for rich countries to reduce their emissions, weak countries need financial help, as they are struggling to deal with the destruction they already see. “Adaptation is the Priority for us, no A Evans Najwa, head of the least developed country group, said. “We give priority to adaptation, our main sources of livelihood, and our economies. [Adaptation is essential to our] Agriculture, water, natural resource management, food security and nutrition. “
Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement He came after a A charged and irreparable end of the COP29 summit, in Baku in NovemberAs the poor countries were I 1.3 trillion dollars annually promised climate financing by 2035But from this amount only $ 300 billion will come mainly from developed countries. The rest will be compensated in the funding of the desired private sector and from potential fees, such as taxes on freight and repeated periods, which have not yet been agreed.
For many in the developing world, this is not good enough. If they want to play a role in curbing carbon – it is expected that most future growth in emissions from the developing world – they are calling for a better financial settlement.
“to fail Cop29 “To secure adequate financing for developing countries – the most affected by climate effects – is a serious setback,” said Harjet Singh, Climate Activist and Founding Director of the SATAT SATAPADA CLIMATE Foundation. “Without this support, it hinders their efforts and transformations in the field of recovery to renewable energy, which puts the goals of reducing global emissions and leading to the exacerbation of the climate crisis.”
in COP30 in Bilim, BrazilAll countries are supposed to reach strict new national plans to reduce emissions, called Specific contributions at the national level (NDCS)Which is in line with the goal of reducing global temperature to 1.5 ° C above pre -industrial levels.
Current ndcs, agreed at COP26 summit in Glasgow in 2021Not enough to keep temperatures within 1.5C of pre -industrial levels. Last year was the first to be higher than 1.5 ° C, and if this trend continued in the long run, the decisive limit will be judged that it was not equivalent to. The new NDCS will govern emissions for the next contract, so COP30 represents one of the last opportunities to put the world on the right track to avoid the indisplied climate collapse.
“The world cannot delay anything else. That is why this round of climate goals is extremely important in changing the path of global efforts to combat climate change,” said Camilla, more climate diplomatic researcher at the International Institute of Environment and Development.
Brazilian president, Luiz Inosio Lula da Silva, COP30 prospects have strengthened with two widespread welcoming dates. André Aranha Korea de Lago, veteran climate diplomat, will take over the role of the chief of policeman, and Anna Tony, the government’s climate change, the executive director of the summit.
The two will face an arduous task: COP29 ended with fierce criticism of the advanced world from poor countries, led by India, which He denounced the result as “very bad”.
Yalcheen Rafaev, the chief negotiator of Azerbaijani hosts, told the Guardian that his experience in COP29 made him optimistic Cop30Since the two countries should have a more common ground in discussions on how to reduce emissions than they were to settle those who must pay for them. “finance [the subject of Cop29] The issue was the most disagreement.
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Mohamed Ado, director of Power Shift Africa Thinktank, said that the fierce differences overcrowded on COP29 do not need a Billim dog. “There is a good opportunity to be a dancer and lift COP29 less problematic in Brazil. It was a large part of the blame due to the weakness of Azerbi, who offended, however, offended a number of countries and lacks diplomatic or geopolitical weight to direct the talks to a positive result. The good news is that Brazil is more suitable for this position. Progressive leadership and diplomats have to be performed Experience and one of the great rising forces in political geography to a more positive environment.
However, Brazil will need strong allies, and with Trump’s rise and many fans around the world, there is a scarcity of strong leadership in the climate between the largest economies. The main countries that defended climate work in the past are facing fraught elections to be held this week. In France, President Emmanuel Macron – who held several climate financial conferences – is still steeped in political turmoil; The European Union, the right -wing parties, provokes a violent reaction against green policy; In Canada, the previous consensus on fragile parties can collapse on climate work in the elections looming on the horizon after Prime Minister Justin Trudeau resigned.
The position taken by China, which is more than 30 % of the global emissions the largest source of greenhouse gases in the world, will be very important. China is currently the target of peak emissions by 2030, and reaching zero zero by 2060. This is “very insufficient” and will lead to a world more than 3c more than pre -industrial levels, according to Action Tracker. With energy generation rapidly increased from renewable resources, and the prosperous electric vehicle market, the country can work better.
When it comes, the NDC in China should be harsh if hopes for 1.5C are kept alive. “We believe a 30 % decrease [in emissions] Lee Show, director of the Chinese Climate Center at the Asia Association Policy Institute, by 2035, said, based on the height of imminent emissions for the year 2025, will be a strong tray. “This goal will be very difficult, in light of the geopolitical environment, as well as local economic struggles in China.”
India, the sixth largest economy in the world, will also be a major player, with its strong dependence on coal along with a Rapid renewable energy sector. “India must remain fixed in its adherence to the climate-to take advantage of the strategic opportunities in technology, investment and industrial investment, green livelihoods, and greater flexibility of the economy. Climatic risks are now risks The macroeconomic, and climate policy is now industrial policy.
While many of the main economies in Europe outperform the right, the exception is the United Kingdom, as Prime Minister, Kiir Starmer, turned into a low -carbon economy, one of its main “tasks” of the government. Starmer is looking for closer relationships with China, the United States and Europe. He was A 45 -minute phone call with Trump After the opening days, although the climate policy has not been discussed. Rachel Reeves, Treasury Adviser, visited China in January, and Ed Miliband, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Energy Security and Safi Zero, is expected to take a trip to Beijing later this year.
Paul Blader, a former climate consultant at Clinton at the White House, has now called with the American University Center for Environmental Policy, the United Kingdom to fill the global leadership vacuum left by the “climatic nihilism” of the American president. He said: “Given the scarcity of leadership in the center of the European Union, UK leaders such as Kiir Starmer and Ed Miliband must steal strongly in a vacuum, and benefit from relations with the main countries in the global south, including Brazil, India and Kenya.” “This must be the most important policeman in Britain since Glasgow.”
