Expert picks, best bets: Where’s the value at UFC Fight Night and PFL First Round?

A rival of the former feather weight title Josh Emit It will end a 15 -month layoff when the falling competitor takes over Leron Murphy At the main event at UFC Fight Night at UFC Apex, Las Vegas on Saturday (9 pm Easter on ESPN/ESPN+With Prelims at 6 pm East on ESPN/ESPN+).
Emmett, who has not been fighting since UFC 296 in December 2023, was produced by one of the most destructive finishes that you will see in its last octagonal appearance, and hitting Price Mitchell With a knockout from the first round. Before that victory, Emit was in a losing line. Murphy has not yet suffered a loss in his career, and he enters the battle after he won seven successive battles. He won in each of his past three battles with a unanimous decision. Both fighters are not transferred by ESPN.
On Thursday, PFL will host its first event in 2025, where for the first time the weights and weight in the feather The new coordination of promotional division championships.
In the main event, the former Pilaturt’s hero Jason Jackson Take Andre Kurchkov. Jackson will do his second PFL. to hit Ray Cooper III In the battle of a battle on the PFL hero card for last year versus Pilaturt heroes. Kurchkov is 1-1 in PFL. Recently, he won Goiti Yamauchi A decision unanimously during the regular 2024 PFL season.
Andreas Hill spoke to the veteran MMA coach and ESPN analyst Dean Thomas To get his point of view on the main event UFC. ESPN expert Ian Parker adds insight and analysis on the main event and other interesting bets he loves on the card, as well as his best PFL fighting card on Thursday.
Editor’s note: Responses were released for brevity and clarity.
Budget weight: Josh Emit against Lerun Murphy
0:55
Josh Emmett offers Ko competitor for the year
Josh Emit Price Mitchell is sent to a mat with a punch out in round 1 of Nuba.
Dean Thomas, veteran MMA coach and ESPN analyst
How Emit wins: Emmett has a combat change force. This was evident in his battles against Mitchell, Ricardo Lamas and Michael Johnson. The number really did on these men. Some things were transporting me, though. The first is that he is 40 years old. He spent some time recovery from injury, but his people told me that he was ever better. Emmett team said it will compete more seriously than it was long ago, but I have it difficult to believe this. He may try to persuade himself. Either way, he has to land on this large punch because, if he does, the game has ended.
How Murphy wins: Murphy sold me for his performance against Edson Barbosa. He has great tools at his disposal and knows when to use it. It moves well, switchs situations and understands how to get out of difficult situations. His speed and diversity should be allowed to turn on rolls around Emit. It will fight intelligence but it can be aggressive when necessary. Morphi can put a clinic against Emit if all his tools are placed for use.
X Factor: The size of the appraiser. The smaller octagon at UFC Apex Emmett is preferred because it will limit the movement of Murphy. He may be able to corner Murphy and force him to trade punches, and this is exactly what Emit wants.
prediction: Murphy to win the decision.
Betrayal
Exact possibilities from publishing. For the latest possibilities, please visit Espn bet.
Parker: Emit to win (+260). Emmett is a difficult test for anyone trying to reach the top of the feather weight section. Although it is great, I am emit here. Emmett has five tours experience and faces competition at the highest level. It also has a wonderful defense and the power of the destroyed defeat. Murphy will have to outperform the Outwrestle Emmett while avoiding the exit more than 25 minutes. This is a big thing, especially after the decline Dan Ig In his last battle.
Best Parker Battles on the rest of the UFC card
0:44
Joanderson Brito amazes André Feli in the first round
Joanderson Brito Andre Fili ends in the first round with a wonderful collection.
featherweight: Bat Spatini Opposite Gonderson Brito
Fighting does not go distance. This should be a pleasant battle as long as it continues. For me, this battle does not end in only two ways: either Sabatini gets a serving or gets a knockout out. Preto is more likely to accomplish it here. We have seen Britto’s opponents shooting at an attempt to remove the lazy after they were shook, then they are served or exit. Although I expect it to happen here, if Sabatini can win a stampede, it represents a serious threat.
Women’s fly weight: Diana Bilita Opposite Barbosa debt
Barbosa to win the distance. Although she lost a decision Miranda Maverick In her second battle in UFC, Barbosa is still working well and showed that she belongs to promotion. It is currently the biggest favorite of the card, but it prefers it a little to win the distance, and this is the result that I tend to. Two of Belbita’s five losses occurred by serving, given that Barbosa got three of her seven wins through application, and we will likely see No. 4 here. This should be a battle battle for Barbosa.
Best Parker Bets for the first PFL tour: heavy weight and feather weight
Wilder’s weight: Jason Jackson against André Koreschkov
Jackson to win (-230). Koreschkov has proven to be a devastating striker with kicks that end. To remove discomfort, it needs to maintain this battle standing and beating from afar, but I do not see that happening. Korechkov can match the feet, but the biggest variation is struggle and wrestling, as Jackson will have this feature. Look for Jackson for amazing use to close the distance on Koreschkov and eventually take the battle on the ground. I expect Jackson to outperform Koreschkov for the best part of the battle and get win.
featherweight: Jeremy Kennedy Opposite Movlid Khaybulaev
KhayBulaEv to win by submission or decision. Khaybulaev returns to PFL in the hope that it will become a hero twice. It is a difficult match with Kennedy, the largest weakened on the card, because Khaibolif is not defeated and has no weakness in his game. What Kennedy did not hold him with a flash knockout, this will be a dominant performance of Khaybulaev. Look for khaybulaev to close the distance and strangle Kennedy for a better part of three rounds.
featherweight: Nathan Kelly Opposite Tae Keon Kim
Kelly to win (+105). After the winning series 11 stopped in the fighting in his last battle, Kelly could rise by beating Kim. Although Kelly is slight and lost, I think it should be preferred. Kelly fought a better competition, and if the ground battle hit, Kelly is the best ground player.