The beauty of madness is that anything can happen. The horror of madness is, in fact, anything can happen. Unlike the total football qualifiers-which are greatly characterized by a weighting of the largest schools of strength-the NCAA basketball championship includes sixty-eight teams, playing in a sudden death form. This produces a lot of good basketball as it does strange basketball. Although this year’s championship initially looked at the disturbances-in each region, all the first four seeds advanced to the second round-there were some early gaming games, such as the victory of the twelfth seeded McNayz state due to the Fifth Clemerson Clemerson. The end result, 69-67, does not properly reflect the extent of Cleon’s collapse: the team scored only thirteen points in the first half of the game. Like New York mail Later booksFrom a team that almost reached the last four years last year, “Clemerson moved from Elite Eight to Lagenuky 13.”
Mark Robert Rank, a sociologist at Washington University in Saint -Louis and author of the book “”Random worker“Who wrote about the role of chance in sport, he said, according to a study conducted in 2012, the contribution of luck in the comprehensive team season is estimated, the basketball is in fact the sport in which luck plays the smallest role, instead of football, hockey, baseball, and basketball. Basketball has made it clear that there are many opportunities for each team to score, which makes it likely to determine one play in the end of the game.
When I spoke and spoke on Friday, he explained that the basketball game should be fully evaluated. When a team made a serious, delighted procedure, he told me: “This final shot may have included some luck, but then there were these five other opportunities before that.” Basketball fans, in their hearts, know that this is true: it was possible to avoid the devastation of the late game very well by shooting the free throw in the first half. However, this mentality also contradicts how people watch basketball, especially during the NCAA championship, which focuses on amazing things-and the absolute patriarch-which happens at the end of the game.
Many total basketball fans have a good reason for the belief that their teams are uniquely unnamed. Take the fifth seed, who played the No. 1 Duke of Duke in the National Championship game, in 2010. When Bitler decreased by two points and had an opportunity to win the bell, the striker Gordon Hyuard threw a half -generous snapshot, ” Sports photographer Later Put it. Or looking at the northern state of Iowa, the eleventh seed, the Cinderella team in 2016, in the second round of the tournament, gave up 12 points in the last thirty -five seconds, which allowed their opponent, Texas A. and. “I was leaving the basketball,” said Liberation James. “If you are in the north of Iowa, I will resign.”
As a fans of life in Purdue Boilermers, perhaps excessively accept the idea that there are powers that cannot be at work, preventing a team from reaching its highest capabilities. I did not go to Bordeaux, but my father did so, alongside most of my family; The school produced, in West Lavaite, Indiana, airline giants such as Neil Armstrong, the first man walking on the moon, and craftsmanship like Zach Eddie, our seven -foot center. To become a fan of basketball in Bordeaux, before Eddie, he inherited a kind of shock for generations: the team was apparently cursing, after reaching the last four in 1980, and not doing this for another forty -four years, despite many strong opportunities. 2018-19 Basketball is almost broken me. He was full of nailing. When we lost, it was often a few points. In January 2019, Joe Bouzil, a former basketball writer at NCAA.com, indicated that the Polieririon is likely to be better than their records, and expected they might be due to an increase. It was right: that year, we reached the eighth elite, and for the first time in nineteen years. We lost, in additional time, in Virginia, in what is Widespread As one of the most exciting games in the history of NCAA. Then Virginia continued to win everything, of course, the best Texas Tech in a final championship game, which also entered into extra time. In that game, also, luck appears to be in the interest of Virginia: with only one minute to go in additional time, and Virginia topped by two, the ball came out of the border. The officials initially spent that technology was distinguished. After that, after a painful review, the superior re -superiority and analysis of multiple camera angles include, the referees were identified, after more than two minutes, that the ball has been held in the pinky color in the field of technology on its way out. Virginia ball.
Virginia was fortunate, and Bordeaux was fortunate. This is the way I absorbed the events of 2019. But it was not just a treatment – it ended with statistics.
Several university hoop fans are familiar with Kenpom, a web site run by independent analyst Ken Boumerewy. The NCAA selection committee is now officially used POMEOY data, along with the Bart Torvik-lawyer-made basketball lawyer behind T-Rank, a statistical classification system-when you specify the difference that will get any seeds. These days, POMEROY and Torvik are trying to take some of the version of Chance in mind when publishing their data, although it does not affect their excessive classifications of college teams. Kenpom follows a statistically called “Luck”, and Torvik points to “fun”, which returns to Fortune – or failure – unwanted numbers. Both statistics aim to obtain the deviation between the actual registry of the team and its expected record, which can help clarify the wonderful contradictions: why the medium team has an almost perfect record, for example, or why a very good team and an average team have.
In 2019, Bordeaux finished the season in two hundred and twenty quarter of luck, according to Kenpom-at the bottom of the rows. Torfik told me by email: “They started bad luck, then they were recovered (and they may have become badly fortunate against UVA).” That season, basketball analysts noticed something strange, which was indirectly captured by Luck Stat. Bouzil, a NCAA.com writer, also pointed out in January of that year, when Bordeaux opponents went to the free throw line, they suddenly became archers to extinguish the lights, which made seventy -seven percent of the line. Perhaps this is the purest example of something that seems out of Bordeaux’s control, because her players simply stand and watch. (The only explanation is that we were only Which – which Not frightening.)
This year, talks on luck, partly, focused on another team at the Big Ten Conference: Michigan and Verins. Michigan was fortunate. Torfik also explained, “They won a lot of nearby games,” while some of their losses were an explosion. my colleague Zach HilvandMichigan’s fans pointed out that this trend may not be from a team that escalates several victory in return, but, instead, he avoids one of the losses. (Michigan often had dominant threads in some of these games that ended up.) “Do you call this luck, or are you almost called this suffocation?” I asked. Hofnd replied, “It may suffocate.”
However, the difference between suffocating almost – and suffocation actually – is everything. Some have argued that the “fortune factor” had nothing to do with all luck. What appears to be luck is actually evidence of skill: strong training for final games, for example, or general mental stability. There is an argument that must be made that the lucky difference is in fact just the clutch difference. “With the accumulation of unexpected results, they are ratified,” Torfik said. After a series of alleged lucky breaks, the difference between the lucky team and the good team becomes less distinct. Michigan, ranked fifth Win Saturday, against Texas a. And m. , Although Wolverine decreased by four points at the end of the first half.
I could talk throughout the day of Bordeaux’s comfort, but the problem with the team, historically, may have been a mentality. During the Edey era, it was clearly able to overcome any team. Unless they could overcome it, it was a good narration. Two years in a row, Bordeaux worked in the championship as an excuse in the stories of Cinderella other schools. In 2022, they fell to St. Peter in The Sweet Sixteen, which led to the first time in the history of March Madness that the fifteenth seed reached to Elite Eight. The loss declined their trust. The following year, Bordeaux won the number 1 in the tournament, however a Times piece male This, in the period before their first game, many players were facing a sleep problem. The team had a sports psychologist traveling with them during the tournament; I advised, among other things, drinking tea, magazines, and “watching TV programs that they have already seen.” “MAD MEN” did not succeed-they lost in the first round against the University of Verley Dickenson, to become the second best team in the history of the tournament to lose in front of a sixteen seed.
