Mild winters and trend towards electrification will push back gas shortage until 2028, Aemo says | Energy

A government agency says that the high gas prices and the shift towards operating homes and companies on electricity helped delay the expected gas shortage in the southern states in Australia until 2028.

Australian report issued energy The market operator (AEMO) said that the increase in the cost of fossil fuels and the trend towards electricity has been combined with moderate winter classes to reduce the use of gas.

She said that the closure of the New South Wales power plant from August this year to 2027 as soon as possible, had reduced expectations for the amount of gas needed.

As a result, it was not expected to be limited to the peak days until 2028, three years after Previously expectedEmo said. The long -term show gaps are now expected to occur on seasonal and annual timetables late in 2028 and 2029, respectively.

It may reduce the discovery from pressure to find a short -term solution for the expected shortage Victoria In particular, as the fields in GPPPPLAND and OTWAY are running out of gas.

AEMO CEO, Daniel Westman, said the report, entitled ” mystification Opportunity statement, the most prominent structural changes in the East Coast Market. He said that the solutions to be considered to address the shortage included new production, new gas storage facilities and short -term liquefied natural gas stations (LNG).

It called on the gas industry and some other business leaders to allow governments to allow new fossil fuels to open and develop them.

Dylan McConnell, an expert at the University of New South Wales, said that the increase in gas supply was not the only way to treat the deficiency. “The other option is to reduce the request,” he said.

He said for residential and commercial uses, this can be achieved The shift from gas to renewable electricity and storing the battery Improving energy efficiency.

The AEMO report said that the liquefied natural gas export industry was the largest gas user in the country, as the dwarf consumes from all other sources, including families, local industry, and gas generators.

He said there was uncertainty about the size of the gas needed to generate electricity, but it was expected to play an increasing role as a reserve energy source sometimes when renewed production was low. GAS Power currently provides about 5 % of electricity in the National Electricity Market (NEM) that provides the five eastern states and honor.

Alison Reef, Deputy Director of the Energy and Climate Program at the Gratan Institute, said that coal power stations were closed, and most modeling indicated that a small amount of gas is needed as a backup copy while the rest of the market was transferred to renewable energy.

She said: “The gas place will not be replaced. Coal will be replaced by the renewable energy award.”

The Labor Party has 82 % of renewable energy by 2030, with higher percentage rates expected after that, based on the storage of gas and energy in batteries and the provision of backup. The coalition said, if elected, this will slow down the start of renewable energy, and depends on more excavations, including increasing the amount of gas, and at the end of the construction Nuclear power plants In seven sites, mostly after 2040.

The Minister of Climate and Energy Change, Chris Bowen, said that the Emo report showed that the gas market expectations are improving and “safe now until 2029”.

“The gas has an important role that we play in our energy system, as we move about 82 % of renewable energy sources,” he said. “Unlike charcoal or nuclear, gas energy generators can be turned and stopped in a few minutes, and when they are turned off, they are not emitted from them.”