Now that we’re on the other side of Labor Day and summer is winding down, this is — as tradition has it — the time when the focus on political campaigning really starts to ramp up. The off-year election next November will receive some attention, but the main attraction remains the 2024 Republican presidential primary.
In this segment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we ask a question we’ll no doubt return to in the four months until the Iowa caucuses: Is Donald Trump’s nomination inevitable? If it is not inevitable, how can we put the possibility of him winning the Republican primary in historical context?
We also have partial results for special primaries and discuss the “good or bad uses of polling” for a classic and controversial topic: internal polls.
