Takeaways from Wisconsin and Florida election results, impact on 2026 midterms and Elon Musk
Tuesday’s elections were in Wisconsin and Florida is nice with the candidates, but not for the White House consultant billionaire Elon Musk. This result can be adhered to for a long time after calculating the sounds.
The state’s judge in the state, Susan Krufford, won a pivotal elections to maintain liberal control over the Supreme Court in Wisconsin, despite a large batch of Musk and millions, while two Republican candidates in Florida won the private parliament elections in the deep red regions. But although their candidates only won the three competitions in voting, it was a good night for the Democrats.
They went strongly to support Croford, who occupied the victory over the judge of the department, Brad Shemel, without suspense on Tuesday night.
Although Republicans will collect their slim majority in Washington, with two other reinforcements at a critical legislative moment, Democratic candidates have improved significantly in the party’s performance in November, which raised questions about whether Democrats can keep pace with this momentum in the renewal elections next year.
Below is the fast food of the elections on Tuesday, including what it means to politics and other campaigns this year and next year.
Democrats have a new Bogeyman
A few months after Democrats lost the presidential elections while they failed to generate a strong violent reaction against Donald Trump, they seem to have found a new electoral work in Musk.
Recent opinion polls showed Master musk classifications are less From Trump, in Wisconsin and at the national levels, it is logical that the Crowford campaign supporting the musk in their messages. There in their actions – Croford and the Democrats they have repeatedly raised it on the trunk, and ran its campaign TV advertisement He accused him of “trying to buy Shemel with a seat in the Supreme Court.”
Musk went to the extreme to help Schimel. Super Pac spent more than $ 12.5 million at independent expenses, MUSK donated $ 3 million to the Republican Republican Party, which is Super Pac It was stripped of controversially For three voters who signed a conservative petition, he traveled to Wisconsin to The campaign in the last days of the raceAnd it is Publish regularly about the race On X, its social media platform.
Focusing on Musk is particularly noticeable because the Democrats seemed to be intended to shed light on Trump’s support for the Gamel-which is what strategic experts at both parties said that he is a heavy designer to avoid public demand among Trump’s fans in a country carrying him with difficulty in two of the previous three presidential races.
Democrats and groups that support Crowford did not mention Trump’s support for Simmel once in television ads, and instead chose to enter into the evil musk. (Shemel bent severely to support Trump, as he was running ads in the last 11 days of the campaign, which confirmed his relationships with Trump.)
Time will be told whether Democrats can repeat the strategy in races in which Musk does not personally play such a main role or whether its benefit as Bogeyman decreases if it is far from the White House in the end.
Possible musk obligations must be taken in a complete context – that is, it has shown it Prepare to present his wealth to politics He extends beyond Trump’s support and amazing wealth, along with his unique personality. It makes it an important ally for the Republicans. In the mid -term mid -term elections, it is confused with musk in the middle.
Playbook book for Republicans 2024 was not enough in Wisconsin
In the last weeks of the Wisconsin race, Republicans and groups that support Shimel expelled Kraovord with ads On the issues of transgender (In addition to highlighting the approvals of Trump and MS).
This step is closely like the Republicans and Trump used in their home Successful 2024 campaign Against Democrats in Wisconsin and several other swing countries.
Each side use ads to paint its opponent as smooth on the crime, and the groups that support the Schimel criticized Crawford In ads Its role in issuing the ruling in specific cases related to the perpetrators of sexual crimes convicted while they are strengthening Shamel for his role in providing difficult judgments against criminals.
This strategy is closely similar to Senator Ron Johnson and the groups that support him, which led to the prolongation of the democratic competitor Mandela Barnes in the 2022 competitive Senate race in the battlefield.
But Crowford and groups supported have retracted the crime in the advertisements themselves, hoping to isolate them from the attacks.
Playbook book, supporting a race in the special elections in the first and sixth Congress areas in Florida, has succeeded to replace the representatives of the former Republican Party. Michael Waltz, the National Security Adviser in Trump, and Matt Gitz. Republicans have worked to revitalize their base, and are looking forward to strengthening the Republican Party’s turnout in the Ruby-Ed regions.
Trump has set up Tele-Town halls for both Republican candidates, and external groups launched ads in the last days of the race to remind voters that they had received Trump’s support. Republicans eventually avoided anything similar to a close invitation in two strong regions.
The state director of the state, Jimmy, was expected to win the first boycott race with 15 points, and the government Senator Randy Fine is expected to win 14 points. But their margins were about half of Trump in November.
The Republican Party expands the majority home
Tuesday elections affected the campaign of the campaign policy. In Congress, a pair of Republican Party victories in Florida will give Republican leaders a little more to pass their main priorities, as they will have a majority 220-213 in the House of Representatives once well, and introduced the beneficiaries.
If each sitting member votes, Republicans can lose three votes from the Republican Party and still pass legislation even if all Democrats oppose a procedure. (Two seats of Democrats are vacant.)
Patronis and Fine will go to Congress at a major moment of the Republican Party, where Republicans are trying to collect them together A comprehensive budget proposal To address Trump’s higher priorities, including extending tax cuts for 2017.
Fine indicated that he will support Trump’s priorities, and tells him in the Tele-Town hall last week, “I stand 100 % behind you, and you will not have a greater warrior for your business table more than me.”
Patronis is also Trump’s ally, although the self -described financial portfolio NBC News said In January, he could collide with the leaders of the Republican Party in government spending, saying: “I will not waste people’s money, and I have no problem in calling for tampering.”
He was asked in an interview last week if there were any elements of a possible budget proposal that he would not support, such as the discounts in Medicaid, Patronis saying, saying he did not think much about “this type of assumption.”
He said: “My principles make sure that we either restore dollars to CD-1 citizens, we spend their dollars more efficient.” “I don’t think it is good to create a path as it takes away something of benefit or entitlement to which someone relies on. I like to give people’s options.”
Democrats still have some energy
Trump’s victory in November may have led to the release of Democrats, but the party showed some signs of life in Tuesday’s elections.
The Democrats in the Trump era made Republican apostasy to collect donations, and on Tuesday races showed that the process of collecting donations did not stop; Meanwhile, Democrats continue to enjoy a major advantage over ether waves.
Croford donation raised her to the Schimel superior to the air waves, as more than 26 million dollars spent the ads to the Schimel approximately $ 14 million, according to AdIMPACT ads. While the Republican Party’s external groups jumped to help bridge the gap, the Cruford feature is noticeable because external groups must pay higher prices for the operation of ads.
In Florida, Democrats failed in deep house areas, but they raised millions of dollars in this process. Democrat Josh Will, a teacher in public schools, has made more than $ 10 million as of Monday, while his opponent in the sixth region raised $ 2 million, including $ 600,000 of himself.
In the first boycott, the Valemust raised $ 6.5 million as of March 12, while Portyis raised $ 2.1 million.
Their losses also apparently emphasize the limits of money, with well -funded candidates to overcome the deep Republican mortar in both regions. But they cut this feature.
WEIL and Valimont also outperformed Vice President Kamala Harris in November, with Weil’s share of vote on Harris with 8 points, and Valentine outperformed Harris’s 11 points. Kraofford also outperformed Harris on Tuesday night, carried in high individual numbers, a state lost by Harris months ago.
Democrats described these margins, noting that the party has excessive in many special elections this year of the state’s legislative seats.
The battlefield was seized
The Wisconsin Supreme Court race had a large number of factors that reach its head on Tuesday – Musk, Trump, tens of millions of dollars in spending, a battle for partisan control over the court – and what added everything? Record.
The votes are still calculated, but Iqbal Iqbal is already in the 2023 Senior Wisconsin Court race, and both candidates for 2025 end up with the total number of candidates ’vote for 202
Take the Fond de lack province, where The Republican Party was established in 1854. This year, more than 39,000 people showed their votes there, between 30,000 who voted in the 2023 Supreme Court race and about 47,000 who voted for the ruler in 2022.
In Bab County, the province of Arbiha, north of Green Bay, has stood with the presidential winner in six of the last seven presidential elections (He failed to do this last yearOn Tuesday, 15300 directions are closer to 17300 in 2022 than 2023 12300.
The Wisconsin state has already received approximately 2.2 million votes by midnight, with East time, with a large part of the votes, according to the NBC News Resolution Office. If this drop continues, the race will be shy about the mid -period 2022, which is an impressive sign in one of the most political involving countries in the country.
Until we get some signs that indicate in another direction, do not expect the high turnout rate constantly in the Trump era elections any time soon.
