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Tech oligarchs are gambling our future on a fantasy | Adam Becker

IThe temptation of belief that billionaires in technology for Donald Trump and the extreme right is a sudden rupture with the usual political ideology in the Silicon Valley. Editorial In the New York Times and elsewhere I made this issue. Even Mark Anderson, one of the billionaires concerned, He claims that this is what happened He said that it was a change in democracy that prompted him and his colleagues in the arms of the Republican Party.

However, this is a serious misunderstanding of the situation. There was no sudden shift in technology policy – it is It was a return to the homeland. Although it is correct that Silicon Valley has long supported the democratic candidates for political positions-and that technology workers in the arrangement and the file are still voting with an overwhelming majority of Democrats-the basic ideology of the culture of capitalists in the Silicon Valley and CEOs are always in thermal essence. This is true for Andressen: Although he most likely believed what he said during his saying, his words and actions show that he did not give an accurate assessment of his motives, and less than anyone else. Investment Capital, Andresson Horwatz, has long organized the government of any kind that affects their investments; Andrink himself published.Technology statement“Although she claims to be a politically neutral, it enhances an authoritarian vision of the unrestricted power of the few.

But the place where the ancient right -wing ideology of the technology industry leaders are more clear in seeing them in the future. Elon Musk Dreams of Mars claims Sam Taman from the artificial intelligence of the brackets or lower. It is easy to reject them as fantasies, and deliberate deviations from their current actions. But this is another mistake, closely related to the first. These futures are essential in the global view of technical billionaires. These ideas about the future have always contained a political element in line with the dreams of complete authoritarian control.

Take Mars. Musk was somewhat specific On this topic: He says he wants a million people who live on Mars by 2050 in a self -sufficient colony, and it is a backup copy of humanity in the event of a disaster on the face of the earth. This was formulated as an existential journey, claiming that Spacex Rocket Starship “is a key to making multiple lines and protecting the light of consciousness.” Jeff Bezos has March of musk plans for MarsInstead, we must aim presence Trillion the people In space several generations from now, live in a fleet of giant space stations, each with interior designs of a major city. He says the alternative is a brutal future to control the population, legalization and “stagnation”.

Bezos is right in Pan Musk’s plans for Mars: They will not work. Mars Awesome. The gravity is very low, the radiation levels are very high, there is no air in the first place and makes dirt from poison. But Bezos’s plans also do not work, for a similar set of reasons. And most importantly, there is no good argument for humans to leave the ground in the first place. The idea of ​​Mars as a backup version of humanity in the event of a catastrophe on the ground is laughing, specifically because Mars is very shocking – there is no disaster, not even a nuclear war or a huge asteroid blow, which can make the Earth less hosting of humans than Mars. Mathematics behind Bezos’s fears of stagnation and legalization – which are in fact concerns about the end of growth – are not diluted by going to space, where the resources are quite limited as they are here on Earth.

What these fantasies of the area allow are the visions of the total corporate monitoring of governments, which are a liberation paradise. Musk Starlink user agreement HaS A condition that maintains that “the parties recognize Mars as a free planet and that there is no government based on the Earth with authority or sovereignty over Mars activities.” (This is in Direct violation of international treaties that govern the space.) The residents of the Mars Musk’s colony will rely on Spacex on everything, even the air they breathe; The city of a company will be more than anywhere possible here on the ground. Meanwhile, the Bezos fleet of space stations will not be a company city – they will be a company’s civilization. With a constant risk of relieving pressure and suffocation at hand, musk and bizus (or inherited them from companies) will have an excuse ready to practice authoritarian control over the inhabitants of these space habitats.

Space is the dream site of tech billionaires, but artificial intelligence is the magic that nourishes them. Such artificial intelligence is always depicted as being able to do as much as humans, if not more. However, there is no good reason to believe that artificial intelligence like this will come any time soon. in A recent survey of artificial intelligence researchers76 % said that neural networks, the general structure that lies behind almost all advanced artificial intelligence, is mainly not suitable for the creation of “AGI”, which is the virtual Amnesty International that can do everything that human beings can do. Even more than these researchers said that the “current perception of artificial intelligence capabilities” is exaggerated. However, in the world of CEOs in the Silicon Valley and the adventures (and between Trusted journalists and Politics makers), There is a wide range that AGI will come very soon, within a A few Years.

This undoubted faith in AGI is linked to a wider legend about the future of technology in general. Once AGI arrives, the story will become, you will quickly and inevitably, and outperform individual people or even humanity as a whole in its capabilities. This will lead to an explosion in the scientific and technological development that dwarms the industrial revolution, known as the uniqueness. Uniqueness will restore the lives of all human beings, which apparently provides magical results such as easy space travel, eternity or nearby dirty, the ideal virtual reality and limited energy, all within a few years or less-and the vulgar benefit in artificial intelligence will make democracy outdated.

The vision of this technological salvation bakes in the heart of the collective subconscious of the silicon valley, and it has been for decades. Future groups in the 1980s and nineties whispered from the imposed promises of automated intelligence on early online email lists, along with Diatribes against democracy, positive action and baynes to free markets. The idea of ​​exclusivity and all its accompanying miracles can be returned across these groups to science fiction in the mid-twentieth century-with its decorations of robots and missile ships that invade the final borders-and return to the further to a Christian religious end of the world Movements of the late nineteenth and early twentieth century. These ideas about the future were originally about the use of technology to escalate to heaven and live forever in the presence of God. They have reached the technical few today with Amnesty International, which plays the role of God and space as an alternative to the committee, but they were not less religion than they were a century ago.

The faith of the unusual technological billionaires in the religion of technological salvation leads them to the belief that the end of this world, and the ideal appearance, is close. AI and colonization of space will lead to Utopia, guaranteed algorithm. That is why they need to believe that artificial intelligence is amazing, further It supports a bubble It is essential to their entire global. they He should We believe that artificial intelligence can be used to replace the main government workers, improve productivity in the workplace and accelerate scientific research, despite all the evidences on the contrary.

Even technological billionaires are even gambling on the planet when an AGI imminent arrives. Eric Schmidt, the investment capitalist billionaire and the former executive director of Google, Claims AGI follower is the best way forward to solve the climate crisis, despite the enormous carbon imprint of artificial intelligence data centers, because of his certainty that AGI will solve the problem for us after his imminent arrival. Sam corresponds to Al -Taman, and He even clearer How do you think this will work. “I think that once we have a truly strong offspring, the processing of climate change will not be particularly difficult for a system like this,” he says. “If you are thinking about a system by which you can say, tell me how to make a lot of clean energy at a cheap price.” “Tell me how to take carbon efficiently,” then tell me how to build a factory to do so on the scale of planets. ” – If you can do that, you can do a lot of other things as well.

Altman’s global warming plan by ordering a machine that is not present for three desires is not something that our civilization can indulge. Technical few are confident that the humiliation will reach and deliver us to heaven. This provides them with the moral forgiveness of their actions and gives them a sense of meaning. But their faith does not offer anything to our rest, and those who cannot live anywhere other than the real world.

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