The Guardian view on India and Pakistan: a newly dangerous moment in an old dispute | Editorial
R.It is the knowledge of the military confrontation Between India and Pakistan It is not the cause of reassurance: This is the worst violence in years. Although he does not want a complete struggle, Kashmir dispute Three wars and multiple crises have been produced over eight decades. When two nuclear armed neighbors collide, we must be concerned.
One of the reasons is that errors and bad judgment are always possible. After its strike overnight on Pakistan, which accuses involvement in The Hindu Tourist massacre In Kashmir, the Indian director last month, India said it only struck the terrorist infrastructure and that its actions were “not escalating.” This is not a one -sided judgment. Pakistan said India “ignited hell” and that its army is authorized to take the corresponding measures.
The second cause of anxiety is the changing context of hostility. In India, Narendra Modi’s success was built on his identity as a Hindu national man. He is also very pressured because he declared unambiguously that Kashmir has returned to nature and that he will not only be “Free from terrorism, however [also] Heaven for tourists “.
In Pakistan, where the army pulls the strings, the state of inflammation economy is only one reason for the lack of popularity of generals. Last month, the army commander, ASIM Munir, sparked controversy by calling the “jugged vein” of Kashmir Pakistan – a phrase loaded with the echo of its founder, Muhammad Ali Jinnah. This speech India was angry even before the Kashmir attack, which came five days later.
The Resistance Front, which India considered as an agent of the Pakistan -based Skar Tayba. Islamabad denies any link, but the army’s links to militant groups opaque. India has become increasingly explicit about blaming.
In the past, the United States prompted the two sides to cancel the escalation. But the Trump administration has little attention to the ability of spare and diplomacy. She does not have an ambassador in New Delhi. Its relations with Pakistan Low. Europe is preoccupied by Ukraine, security and American definitions. Beijing should press Pakistan to keep a cold head.
Pakistan’s response to the strikes may be more clear soon. In the last crisis, in 2019, the two sides retreated quietly from the edge of the abyss. India can say that she was hit. Pakistan says it has dropped Indian planes (their Indian officials According to what was stressed Aircraft loss). Such a result will be a satisfaction for civilians along the control line – the realistic borders – who are Once again he pays The decisions taken far with heavy artillery fire continued. But it may be just a temporary delay, not for everyone. India announcement Comment of the endoswater Treaty – Which may eventually allow her to turn off the tap – less dramatic than missile launch, but may prove destroyer for farmers in Pakistan.
Last year, Mr. Modi I promised To restore the special status of Kashmir and Kashmir, whose government The wrong reduction To the areas that are managed centrally six years ago. He should do so. This decision, and the lock that followed Feeding anger and hardening. The pressure on the Pakistani army should be kept on the dangerous accommodations of the militants.
Researcher Sumit Ganguli notes in his book Deadly The two countries often showed amazing strategic control, but also that the conflict remains “significantly solid”. It will be a comfort to rely on calibration.
