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Trump cuts will increase devastation after disasters, expert warns: ‘It is really scary’ | Trump administration

the Trump administrationA prominent expert warned that the comprehensive discounts of disaster management will cost American life, with the inability of hollow agencies to predict accurately, prepare or respond to harsh weather events, earthquakes and epidemics.

Samantha Montano, Professor of Emergency Management at the Massachusetts Marine Academy and author of the book ” Disaster Science: Sending from the front lines of the climate crisisHe said the number of deaths, including hurricanes, hurricanes, and water pollution in the United States, unless Trump retracts collective workers and financing discounts to the main agencies. This includes the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), whose work is highly dependent on the National Oceanic and Calf Administration (NOAA), which is also dismantled.

“The total risk of threats and risks that occurred in the United States has increased since the administration took over, while the ability of our emergency management system diminishes,” Montano said in an interview.

Samantha Montano. Photo: With the permission of Samantha Montano

“Emergency managers will work blind without the data we are used to from NOAA and other scientific agencies. This is what we rely on to issue evacuation warnings, evacuation orders, and pre -position resources.

“It is difficult to know if it is the next hurricane as the response completely fails or three hurricanes from now. But I feel confident in saying that the discounts are continuing, so we will see higher fees for death and more destruction, at all.

Emergency Management includes mitigation, preparedness, response and recovery of all types of disasters including the outbreak of major diseases and other cases of prevalence of major diseases, as well as floods, fires, hurricanes, earthquakes and explosions. Fema is closely working with government agencies and local government to provide resources, coordination, technical expertise, leadership and communication with the public.

Since his return to the White House, Trump has threatened to solve FEMA, and it often reduces the agency amid its ongoing efforts to help the societies destroyed by Los Angeles. forest fires and Helen HurricaneCategory 4 Storm Leave at least 230 people in southern Apalashia.

“What happened with Helen was terrible, and it was a lot of destruction and lost a lot of lives. I don’t want to reduce that, but it is also important for people to understand that Helen could have been much worse,” said Monteno. “There would have been a number of death to thousands, if this was not for careful prediction, if the matter was not for the Fema mobilizing and flowing resources by speed and effectiveness as they did.”

With the start of the hurricane and hurricane season just days, FEMA’s alert plans and billions of dollars stopped in disasters and grants. Reports indicate More than a third of the permanent workforce in FEMA has been launched or accepted purchases, including some of the most experienced and knowledgeable leaders who coordinate disaster responses-which can include many federal agencies for several months or years. About 75 % of the agency’s workforce They are on demand or reserve soldiers Their contracts cannot be renewed, the internal notes indicate.

“There was already mental migration from Fema. We will not simply have people to respond to a major disaster like Helen, but they will also face problems responding to several smaller-flooding disasters, storms that occur throughout the country at the same time, which with the climate crisis has become more common. The administration has led to the lighting of the world’s emergency agency.

During the Trump era, FEMA has so far denied federal aid to hurricanes in Arkansas, floods in West Virginia and Wind Storm in Washington State. North Carolina’s request also rejected the extension of federal relief, with Helen’s recovery efforts continued.

Resources will have an immediate impact on families and individual societies, many of whom voted for Trump. It is somewhat difficult to measure the effect of FEMA and the national weather service on messages, a major element in emergency management that was already difficult amid wrong information and misinformation about harsh weather, measles, and even Fema itself.

The effects of Hurricane in Little Rock, Arkansas, on April 2, 2023. Photo: Anadolu/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

Montano said: “Effective communication depends on confidence and I do not know how the American public can trust one thing that this administration says and extends to Fema, where they were placed in an official official. [Cameron Hamilton] He himself was publishing misleading information about the agency during Hurricane Helen. “

Hamilton inflated false claims Written by Trump and Musk that Fema had a disaster assistance to immigrants and banned assistance to North Carolina. Montano said:

“In an ecosystem for communication where there is already a lot of ambiguity, we have now lost Fema as a reliable source in general. It is difficult to see how people will get accurate information in the main disasters, not to mention dealing with the complex recovery process after … it is incredible, but at every stage, each aspect of emergency management was under attack in the first 100 days … … … …

And while discounts to HHS [the Department of Health and Human Services] The US International Development Agency is the most important to prevent disease outbreaks, everything is done for an emergency management system that makes us less ready for the next epidemic. “

The workforce and the NOAA budget also decreased with the NWS national weather service and climate research among the worst successes. Trump Policy Plan, Project 2025, called for Noa to “It is divided and reducedHe claims that the agency is the “Climate Change Climate Sumat” engine.

Trump and his billionaire Eileon Musk are also trying to dismantle Americanorps, which is the service of federal volunteers that plays an important role in recovery from disasters, as well as expelling the immigrants who form The majority of the disaster workforce.

The discounts to FEMA, NOAA, NWS and other agencies involved in preventing disasters have only a little economic meaning. For every dollar, the federal government spends on mitigation, it saves At least $ 6 of taxpayers money Response and recovery.

Montano said: “The national weather and emergency management service are really clear examples of the place that you need to work from the government because it is not just something that the private sector will be interested in and cannot benefit from it.”

Most disaster relief or disaster prevention occurs behind the scenes, a complex process that includes testing, standards, experience and enforcement, which rarely generates scrutiny unless something wrong occurs.

Montano said: “The reason I feel very sure is that we will see increasingly death from storms and other disasters is that the public – and many of them in this administration – may not understand the complexity of mitigating the risks that occur through federal agencies, which prevent these greater disasters from occurring.”

For example, the 1972 Clean Water Law represents a huge project for continuous mitigation, according to Montano, which, along with the laws protection laws of the other main environment, is now being assaulted: “With the erosion of these regulations, the risks will carry them and have the possibility of a disaster. We put ourselves for more water -related health performance.

The effect of federal cuts is partially dependent on the extent of filling gaps in states and local governments. Historically, the investment in emergency management was rarely to prevent potential disasters in the future is a political priority.

“Organizing society will be extremely important here, to ensure that there is pressure from local and state officials to pick up some stagnation. But some are outside the limits of what one country can do on their own, and this is why we have federal regulations to start them,” Montano said.

Montano also believes that Trump can still be forced to back down from some decline, if there is a retreat from the courts and voters. She said: “I do not think they have dismantled Fema, but the largest wild card here is what is the location of the disasters in the next few months – and the policy of that. The climate crisis is here, and these disasters do not stop.”

FEMA was created by Jimmy Carter in 1979, and it needs to be repaired amid the increasingly destroyed disasters, and the process of excessive complex applications, and growing calls for improving the ability to manage local emergency.

“Our emergency management system was good in many ways, but major changes were needed,” Montano said.

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