Current Affairs

What the polls say about the start of Trump’s second term

President Donald Trump did a quick job in his first week in office- A number of promises of campaign campaignsIssuing a boat load of amnesty (some controversial) and the age of revenge for its political opponents.

Until now, early voting shows that Trump begins with more support than voters – and a more volatile room – than in his first term in the White House. But it remains to see how voters will judge his first actions as president.

The former president entered his second term by classifying better photos than in January 2017. % of the registered voters viewed positively at that point.

now, The latest poll for Fox News Trump showed a 50 % positive rating between registered voters and a 50 % unfavorable percentage. A The new Wall Street Journal survey I found that 47 % of registered voters saw him positively, while 51 % looked at him inadequate. Both surveys were made before Trump took office.

The poll is divided into Trump’s expectations of Americans. according to Playing cnn56 % of American adults say they expect Trump to be a good or somewhat good president, while 43 % expect that he will be somewhat poor or very poor. (The pre -weakest CNN survey in January 2021 found a little higher expectations before Joe Biden, while its poll in January 2017 found that adults are divided into their expectations for Trump, where 48 % said they believed it would be good or somewhat good and 48 %. They say it will be very poor or somewhat.)

The weakest poll from New York Times and Epsus I found that 47 % of adults are either enthusiastic or optimistic about his presidency, while 51 % are either pessimistic or worried about his presidency.

Meanwhile, when it comes to some of the main issues that Trump followed in the first days of his second term, the polling appears the opportunity and risk to his presidency.

The polling from CNN and the New York Times showed that the economy is far from the most important issue in the minds of the Americans. But many of the main headlines that Trump have focused so far on issues such as migration and amnesty, especially his decision to issue a comprehensive amnesty for those convicted of their behavior during January 6, 2021, Capitol Rit.

The Americans seem more open to Trump’s efforts to deportations more than January 6. Opinion polls also show that the general support of Trump’s actions decreases when voters consider potential results if Trump takes the most difficult line in these issues.

The Wall Street Journal found that only 38 % of registered voters are supported by the blanket amnesty for all defendants on January 6 (an opponent of 57 %). This is compared to 43 % who said they will return to everyone except those convicted of attacking police officers and 54 % who opposed this. (Trump ended with pardoning all those who faced federal charges, including those I am convicted of violent crimes. A handful of others convicted of conspiracy got their rulings.)

When applying immigration, there appears to be a powerful majority or line line to support Trump’s vast support for the wide -ranging deportation age. The Wall Street Journal found that 52 % of registered voters prefer an invitation to “detention and deport millions of unconventional immigrants” and 45 % oppose them, while 55 % of adults in the New York Times/Ibsos poll supported the deportation of all immigrants in America illegally legally And 42 % opposed it.

The restriction of the deportation illegally with the criminal records is more popular: 87 % of adults support politics, according to the New York Times/Ibsos polls, and 74 % of voters registered in Wall Street Journal polls.

But deporting others is less popular. 70 % of registered voters oppose the deportation of illegal immigrants who lived in the United States for more than a decade and paid taxes without obtaining a criminal record, according to the Wall Street Journal. The survey also showed that 57 % oppose the deportation of immigrants who are not documented with children who are American citizens (38 % accredited to the proposal).

Regarding foreign policy, 60 % of adults (according to the New York Times/IPSOS) policy is widely agreed with the idea that “the United States must” “should” pay less attention to problems abroad and focus on problems here at home “, on a scale Wide with the Trump campaign speech, compared to 38 % who said it was “better for our country’s future active in the affairs of the world.” The narrow majority believes that America provides a lot of aid to Ukraine and Israel. (In each case, about 30 % wants to maintain the status quo, while they want less than 20 % vision of an increase in aid.)

Amid Trump’s criticism of the Biden administration’s policies about transgender people, Trump’s executive order that the federal government only recognizes the sexes, males and females, there are important divisions in the country on the issues of transgender people.

American adults are widely divided whether society has achieved the right balance in the absorption of transgender people. According to the New York Times/Ipsos numbers, 49 % said that society has gone very far in achieving the right balance, 21 % say that society has not gone far enough, and 28 % say society has achieved a reasonable balance.

But there is more support for other sites of Trump’s positions: the banning of sexually transformed women (specified in the survey as “athletes who were male at birth but they currently know that they are female”) from women’s sports. 79 % of adults in the same survey supported this suggestion, compared to only 18 % who opposed. 71 % said they believe that no person under the age of 18 should have obtained “adulthood or hormonal treatments” used in the care of transgender people.

How much is the runway that voters usually give new presidents?

While Trump comes in a better condition than he did in his first term – and the swinging voters who supported him It looks open to give it some volatility – An analysis of the NBC News survey, which lasts the last five presidency of the short honey presidency at the White House.

Biden witnessed his approval rating of 51 % in April 2021 to 45 % by late October and 41 % by March 2022. His approval rating did not exceed 46 % for the rest of his presidency in polling news in NBC.

Trump’s first rating in the NBC survey reached 44 % in February 2017, which is the number that immediately fell to 39 % through the NBC’s third news poll that year, in May. But Trump’s approval rating was more flexible than other presidents of modern memory, as it remained within a relatively tight range from 39 % to 47 % for his entire presidency.

Barack Obama’s approval classification rated 60 % in early March 2009, fixed in the NBC News poll the following month. However, his approval classification slipped in four of the following five opinion polls, although his 47 % low . After the initial diving, Obama’s approval evaluation fluctuates about 50 % until summer before the mid -term elections.

Shaber terrorist attacks on September 11, which make terrorist attacks on September 11, making comparison with the first years of the other presidency difficult.

While then President Bill Clinton’s approval rating increased from 51 % after a short period of time, he took office to 57 % in March 1993, he decreased to 41 % by June 1993, before returning a long march to 60 % on the first anniversary of his post. The Clinton approval rating then moved to the slip in 1994 to 43 % before Republicans took the Congress in the renewal elections that year.

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