Two states provide nearly a thousand miles, on Tuesday, the best evidence so far whether President Trump and his Republican allies maintain strong support or whether they are facing an increasing violent reaction led by a democratic party that reactivates it.
In Wisconsin, a race has turned nearly $ 100 million to control the state’s Supreme Court from an important clash on the state’s directive to a referendum on the role of Elon Musk, the joyful in national policy.
In Florida, it seems that one of the special elections for the deep house seats was suddenly close to the convenience of the Republicans. Democrats, while they still expect to lose, closely watch the margins of signs that their party ascends.
Here are five big questions heading to Tuesday elections.
Will the fruits of millions of Elon Musk come?
Mr. Musk’s support for Brad Shemel, the conservative candidate in Wisconsin, was a full -service political process.
The billionaire and associated groups spent more than $ 25 million, and financing a strong ground game. An army of $ 25 per hour per hour expelled the doors of Trump’s voters, and the brilliance platforms for the Republicans confirmed that Judge Shemil, Trump’s ally. A non -profit organization and a conservative and have relationships with Mr. Musk with the Air Wave Class with ads that hit the liberal candidate, Susan Cruford, as weak in the crime. Giving Mr. Musk includes $ 3 million to the Republican Party in Wisconsin, who has transferred money to help judge Shemel.
This was before Mr. Musk spoke for about two hours In a march for Judge Shemel on Sunday night in Green Bay.
If the unusual efforts of Mr. Musk succeeded, the Republicans in Wisconsin will be hoping to obtain friendly rulings by a court controlled by governors on cases of abortion rights, reaching voting and the authority of the Republican Legislative Board in the state.
However, Mr. Musk could come the political cost to judge the Schimel. The poll shows that Mr. Musk is unpopular among the Democrats in Wisconsin, such as Mr. Trump, but without much loyalty to the Republicans. Democrats framing Judge Kroford’s campaign about the idea that they were fighting the richest person in the world.
“We are in an unknown area where we now have the richest man in the world trying to buy our election and the question is: Can he do that?” Sarah Godloski, Wisconsin Democratic Minister, said.
In her closing campaign on Monday night in Madison, Judge Kraofford distorted Mr. Musk for his appearance in his gathering wearing the yellow foam head clothes preferred by sports fans in the state.
“Let me talk about my opponent, Elon Musk,” she said. ))
Is democratic energy finally here?
Democratic hopes began slowly, cautiously in the height.
The party was destroyed on turning the legislative seats of the Republic in the recent special elections In Iowa and Pennsylvania. On Saturday, voters in Louisiana Four proposed constitutional amendments rejected With the support of state governor Jeff Landre, a Republican, he would have repaired parts of the state’s tax symbols and tightening penalties for perpetrators.
However, none of them was expensive or prominent like Tuesday competitions, and therefore the issue of whether one -time conditions or a harbinger of the broader democratic recovery will be determined by what is happening in Wisconsin, and to a lesser extent, Florida.
Judge Kraovord’s victory, a moderate judge, can put the wind in the sails of a new Trump resistance, similar to John Osov in April 2017. While Mr. Osov, who is now a member of the Senate in Georgia, was what was then the first race for the public ever.
The Democrats in Wisconsin, Mr. Musk, put in the center of their correspondence operations in the race: to ensure that the voters got this point, and described a tour of the state level “The People V. Elon Musk”. Fear of existence Drown by millions of Mr. MuskThe Democrats helped in Judge Kraovord Small money raising records.
“We are discovering the way forward,” said state actress Greta Newpaore, a Rasin democracy, who is the leader of the minority in her room.
Are Democrats really able in Florida?
Republicans in the House of Representatives expected that the most intense majority would grow easily through two seats on Tuesday in the elections to replace the members of Congress chosen by Mr. Trump last year to join his government.
One, Michael Waltz, became the national security advisor, while the second resigned, Gaitz died, his seat and then later Withdraw from looking as a general lawyer Amid the achievement of morality and opposition to the republic.
Mr. Trump Jimmy, a high -ranking financial director of the state, supported Mr. Gaitz in Banhandel and Senator Randy Fine to replace Mr. Waltz in the northeastern region of Naskar Beach in Dynona Beach.
But Mr. Fine Democrat, Josh Will, has easily outperformed him, prompting general warnings about Mr. Fine’s chances of winning a comfortable victory in the 30 -point Fez Trump. While the Republicans are still expected, both parties are closely watching the victory margin.
Despite the republican concerns, Democrats did not make significant external investments to help Mr. Will. But Friday, Mr. Will recorded a prominent national support of Senator Bernie Sanders, Fairmont Independent, which is It was carried on Sunday With Ken Martin, Chairman of the National Democratic Committee.
How much participation in participation is $ 100 million?
The last race of the Supreme Court in Wisconsin, two years ago, became about 56 million dollars to become the most expensive judicial elections in American history.
These elections are Dru 1.8 million votersOr about 56 percent of the state’s turnout in Presidential elections in 2020 A high percentage of the state court.
Now, with spending approaching $ 100 million, one of the main factors in the result is the high turnout.
America appreciates voices, a group of mobilization of democratic voters that are active in the state, that just over two million Weslevin will vote, an increase that can explain the democratic interest or the process of accepting a successful republic by Mr. Musk. If many Wisconsin votes, the turnout will be about 60 percent of the state’s demand last November.
As far as voters say they hate the negative advertising attack and e -mail of the attack, the evidence shows that they increase interest, excitement and turnout.
“Everywhere I was in the state, we get crowds as we did last November,” said Brian Shimminge, head of the Republican Party in Wisconsin. “People are clicked.”
Is Musk the future of our elections?
Mr. Musk enjoys almost unlimited wealth, the president’s ear, and the president’s distant authority in Washington.
If he can change the state’s judiciary on its own, how can he pump himself into the country’s elections?
Victory in Wisconsin, Mr. Musk, can encourage more aggressive growth in throwing billions behind Republican candidates for positions this year and in the mid -term elections.
All this happens while Mr. Musk benefits financially from the candidates who cast his money and influence. Tesla, Electric Vehicle Company Mr. Musk Controls, He has a case against Wisconsin suspended in state courtsAnd Mr. Trump has left his way Promote billionaire products from the White House.
The defeat of the conservatives, of course, barely means that Mr. Musk will stop spending on the elections. But it is assumed that Democrats will prove that it can be overcome with enough basic money and energy.
However, while Democrats may see that Mr. Musk is a person who launches their base and collects liberal donations, it is much easier to do when Wisconsin is the country’s racing in the country and the focus of national attention.
If Mr. Musk generates dozens of candidates holding Trump to the ruler, the Senate and Congress throughout the country next year, it may be much more difficult to match his financial strength with the same degree of popular enthusiasm when national interest is more prevalent.
