Britain cannot afford to gamble on America returning to its senses. We must urgently look elsewhere | Rafael Behr
WBritain’s relationship with the United States under Donald Trump It might be, it should not be called an alliance. This word means common goals, common burdens and confidence – a cooperative model that is not available from the White House.
Trump The concept of distorted proverb It is enveloped in his belief that foreigners are guilty of “looting” when they sell more goods to the United States more than they buy in return. The punitive tax, applied in proportion to the excessive exports of the violating nation, is a “mutual” tariff in the president’s dictionary.
Britain fees will be imposed 10 %. This was reported as mercy, attributed by optimistic officials to digging street diplomacy or, since the European Union will pay twice, one of the happy side effects of Braxite.
The reference interpretation is that the reckless White House equation, and the arrangement of countries according to the balance of evil trade, is filled with Care Starmer in the same column as Penguins from the Hurd Islands and McDonald’s Islands. Britain faces an additional 25 % tariff on car exports, steel and aluminum. In that result, penguins have a special relationship.
It was possible to be worse, so maybe a Starmer’s planning for Trump had some diluted effect. If not, perhaps, he puts the foundations for leniency in the future. This is what the government contemplates and why the ministers are keen on their language. The plan is still to make a kind of economic deal with Trump. The next morning to announce the customs tariff, Jonathan Reynolds, Minister of Business, adhered to the line that “America is a friend; America is our main ally.”
This was true once. It may one day be correct again. Today, at best, a deliberate lie, it was said that the truth, if it was spoken loud and reported to the White House, will be provocative. Fear of commitment Lèse-majesté Against King Donald is now encrypted in every general expression of foreign policy in the United Kingdom.
Some caution is reasonable, but not if it is absorbed as a comfortable loss that America Trump is the same country that Britain has allied for decades. This is an attractive idea for policy makers because it means standard diplomatic evidence, and international class templates and the usual across the Atlantic channels can succeed.
There is a strong motivation to disinfect the actions of the Trump regime in terms of the current mental models of American democracy. The message from Downing Street is that the American president behaves according to his mandate. The definitions may be unwanted, but it should be understood as in response to the dissatisfaction of the broken global economy.
This is true in the primary sense that angry American voters put Trump at the White House, and now he does things and promises he will do during the campaign. But if the policy is crazy before the elections, the unlimited candidate’s victory does not suddenly make it rational.
The habit inherent in its vision of politics as a complex, competitive and developed environment can lead people to present the strategic authorization of decisions when the evidence is not supported. A reference frame derived from the precedent of democracy applies a false moderate bias. Trump’s best comparisons may be the mania, divorced dictators and distorted tyranny – Mao Zedong campaign to exterminate birds through A big leap forward; Eddie Amin Plural From the community of South Asia in Uganda.
Some checks and balances in the US constitution are still working – independent judiciary in particular. This makes the solution to democracy more difficult, but the courts cannot stabilize the legal procedures in a system that is determined to do it as it is.
The risks of former allies in the United States reduce the dominance of madness, the contempt of the law and the absolute stupidity in the Trump administration, and thus expect a lot of diplomacy and persuasion.
It is not that Britain has a lot of options but negotiation. The Prime Minister talks about restraint, Returning from the escalation of the war of tariffsIt is called cold. But even if he wants to return, he will not have a lot of arsenal. Unlike the European Union, the UK lacks the high market to increase the target pain on American companies, and targets the republican provinces in ways that may pressure Trump.
Britain must also take carefully because its national security interests are very tightly It was assembled with the American military force. This is not just a matter of alignment of historical policy, but the technical integration of systems and programs. The Pentagon holds the keys to many defense capabilities in the United Kingdom.
At the present time, the security relationship is not on the table in discussing the economy and trade, but the line will obscure. Trump is a global project in the range and ideology in the content. It is granted preference to foreign politicians who will join a Crusader campaign to sweep the chaos of multilateral rule, cleansing liberal decline and asserting white Christianity as the height of civilization.
the Natural European partners In this institution, Vladimir Putin and his client are the constellation of extreme right -wing parties. Tolerance in their agenda, if not support, will be a condition for the White House. Starmer will not be able to maintain trade and political geography. The price of concessions to Trump will turn a sabotage of all other institutions and relations of British foreign policy in defense.
It was not a sudden and anti -anti -American axis, given the size of the contract that lasted for decades. But there is a risk of leaving this inheritance, and muscle memory of ancient Atlantic partnership, blocking the reality of what is happening now. It will be a mistake to invest a lot of diplomatic capital in seeking to achieve marginal preferences from a system that hates democracy and believes that treatment is likely for penguins. Britain urgently needs allies who understand the meaning of the word.
