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A failed Soviet Venus probe is expected to fall to Earth today, but when and where? Here’s what we know

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The latest “Earth Path” available from the European Space Agency (ESA) that displays the possible paths that may fall on the failed Kosmos 482 Venus Lander. . | Credit: ESA/ESOC Space Office

In 1972, the Soviet Union Kosmos 482 Lander launched a spacecraft aimed at reaching Venus and Earth on its surface. The craft did not reach Venus, however. The missile, which he fired, suffered from anomaly, penetrates the probe in an oval orbit around the ground where it has been for more than 50 years.

This stay can end for five decades in space today. Kosmos 482 is expected to return Atmosphere It may be shattered somewhere on the surface of the planet. The probe consists of a 3.3 -feet titanium shell (1 meter) lined up on thermal insulation, designed to withstand the entry heat to Joe Venus. The craft weighs about 1,190 lbs (495 kg).

It is still completely unintentionally where the craft will decrease, although it is expected that it is expected to reach about 1:54 am Each time (0554 GMT) on May 10, in addition to nine hours, According to the Aerospace Corporation Center for Tribal Hardcore Studies and Re -Entry (Cords). According to the current paths and the tropical inclination of the 52 -degree dead path, the craft re -entering anywhere can occur between 52 degrees north and 52 degrees south – an area that covers most of the surface of the earth.

However, Kosmos 482 may not be dangerous as the other Unwanted space to fall. “Since it is likely to reach the surface of the earth as only one object, the risks involved are less than those created by a Re -entering the upper stage in Falcon 9Which highlights multiple creatures with a large size on a large area, “Marko Langberck’s books, a Dutch satellite follower, wrote Blog post Follow Cosmos 482.

But there is no need to fear that the falling investigation is beaten, according to the ropes. After all, 71 % of the surface of the Earth is covered in water, and a lot of Earth on the surface is not restored to the population. The possibilities are that the investigation will fall in a harmful place.

“Although the risk is not zero, any individual on the face of the earth is more popular with lightning instead of being injured by Cosmos 482,” According to Aerospace Corporation. “If it remains intact along the way, we are exposing a threat of 0.4 in 10,000 – which is the current safety.”

Satellite trackers and astronomers are tracked for years. In 2019, there were reports on The craft may occur within a yearWhat happened. Astronomer Ralph Vandberg from the Netherlands seized the probe on the camera for more than a decade, and Recently taken pictures The umbrella proposal may be out during rotation.

A black and white image of a gray bloc in the shape of a cylinder almost on a black background

Telescopic photos of Soviet Cosmos 482 Venus Descent Craft in the Earth orbit taken by the Ralf Vandbergh from the Netherlands. | Credit: Ralph Vandberg

But some experts have suspected this speculation. Langbroek He writes The tail -like structure in Vandbergh is likely to be the result of “the camera/telescope and mutilation in the atmosphere”

Kosmos 482 was part of the history of the Soviet Union Venera program To explore the flower, which fell the first probe on the surface of the planet in 1970 with Venera 7, then sent later The first colored pictures of the flower surface In 1982 with the Vanera 13 probe.

Stay in view of Kosmos 482 re -entering with Esa’s Live Blog Or Marco Langbrook Sattraccam site.

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