The uncertain future of the Green New Deal

Since the first day of President Donald Trump’s second term, three small words continue to appear.

On one of his first executive orders, the President issued instructions for agencies To finish the so -called “Green New Deal”, Who described it “False” and “incredibly mildly.” The contempt for this concept is clear, as Trump and press secretary Caroline Levitt refers to “Bassem”.The new green fraud process“

In fact, there is no new green deals law in the United States today, despite the previous attempts to pass one in Congress. What Trump has actually stopped financing in his executive order is the law to reduce inflation for 2022: the draft spending law that was passed during the era of former President Joe Biden and the largest investment in clean energy in the history of the United States.

The Law of Inflation, or the Irish Republican Army has been built, as a major victory for climate organizers-but most of them do not believe that the law rises to its original vision to move to renewable energy that creates good jobs with good salaries. In the face of declines, these activists ask whether their invitations to obtain a new, effective green deal or divide the voters. After Trump won the popular vote in November, some climate defenders are looking for new ways to talk about the changes they want to see, which may resonate on a larger scale through the political spectrum.

“This is a living issue about the discussion,” said Dija Powell, director of the sunrise membership. She said that some organizers are concerned that the climate movement has failed to move the audience, partly because “because” “”[w]In fact, E misses a complete, convincing vision that touches the hidden current from what we are in society. “

If you had to determine the moment when the new green deal exploded in public awareness, it will be shortly after the mid -period 2018, when more than 200 young men made sunrise organizing a sit -in outside the Senator Nancy Pelosi office in Capitol Hill. The newly elected actress Alexandria Okasio Cortez joined the demonstrators, who urged Pelosi, the democratic leader of the House of Representatives, to pass strict measures on climate change. They came with them A draft resolution for what they called “the new green deal“It was a reference to the new deal in the thirties of the twentieth century, a series of ambitious initiatives and reforms – including the Civil Conservation Corps, Social Security Law, and the management of business progress – launched by President Franklin de Roosevelt to provide economic relief during the great depression.

In February 2019, OCASIO-Cortez, to which Senator Ed Marki, a democratic of Massachusetts, joined the decisions of a new green agreement in the House of Representatives and the Senate. The plan called for a large -scale mobilization “has not been seen since World War II” to completely transform the economy, eliminate US greenhouse gas emissions, and create millions of jobs. At that time, people laughed at the idea, Marqui said in a group organizational call last month hosted by more than 50 climatic organizations. This procedure was largely symbolic: these were non -binding decisions, which means that even if they passed a vote in Congress, they would not become a law. In both cases, the opponents made their refusal. The decision failed to vote by the Senate Just months later, the second attempt in 2021 did not go anywhere.

“But you know what we knew?” Marki said. “We were building a movement that was building the momentum that would end with the Irish Republican army.” Since the original decision, Democrats have presented a group of targeted green deals bills, which focus on issues between them health to Urban infrastructure to General housing to Public schools. None of these bills made her outside the committee.

Many credit for the enthusiasm that the new green deal Biden pushed to set climate change priorities During his presidency, even if he did not result in exactly what they were calling him. Sometimes the Irish Republican Army is talked as a small, small green deal – but there are major differences between the two. While both support to reduce emissions, the decisions of new green deals in Congress called for a tremendous mobilization voltage to reach net zero emissions and move to renewable energy by 100 percent in 10 years. The Irish Republican Army was less ambitious, as it was looking for emissions of only 40 percent by 2030.

There is a common ground between the two initiatives: both of them are the framework of energy transmission as an opportunity to create new job opportunities. Both put a unique focus on this existence good-Payment, union jobs are perfect. But here too, the new green deal was aimed at the top, and called for the creation of millions of these jobs, while the Irish Republican army was expected to support About a million Jobs over a decade. (A recent estimate was found that the Irish Republican Army Less than 350,000 jobs have been created In the first two years) Carbon removal Through tax credits for clean and renewable energy projects. It also provided families to install heat pumps and solar panels and buy electric cars. This targeted approach was absent from some of the large goals of the new green deal, such as ensuring clean air and water and reaching healthy food for everyone.

Even after the Irish Republican Army, some legislators did not surrender from a new green deal – even if it is imperative to go anywhere under Trump. On an invitation with climate organizers last month, actress Delia Ramirez, a democracy from Illinois, said she intends to do so Re -submitting a copy of the new green deal Focus on public housing. “Now, I am not naive,” I told the attendees. “You and I know that a bill like this will not pass this Congress.” Ramirez hopes to become these demands within four years, assuming that the Democrats are regaining control of Congress.

Grace Adokox, the first climate strategy expert in the progressive research tank Advance dataHe said that the new green deal is still a strong incentive for those who are part of the climate movement. In the organization The latest scanningFrom last January, 65 percent of voters expressed their support for a new green deal that would create job opportunities, modernize infrastructure, and protect weak societies. “I don’t think there is an argument to get away from it completely,” Adokox said, although the phrase is less effective for the people he heard “is negatively thrown.”

According to Josh Farid, Senior Vice President of Climate and Energy at the Left Research Center in the center, the phrase new green deals was not designed to build a wide consensus outside the left.

He said: “The proposals received in the new green deal did not match the values ​​of anywhere near the majority of Americans.” “Republicans continue to put forward as support for voters, because it is not common for voters.” Farid that some policy organizations Embrace as part of the platformHe loves Block new fossil fuel projects or Announcing the state of climate emergencyThe voters, who are trying to win the Democrats after losing the congressional and White House, repelled last November.

Farid acknowledged that the idea of ​​good wage jobs and climate change processing looks good in the summary-“Who does not like puppies and sweets?” he Books in a modern blog. But he said that the new green deal becomes less popular for voters Learn the cost. For years, Fox News stumbled on the price of the new green deal, pointing to Analysis will cost 90 trillion dollars. ((There was A lot of discussion about this number.) Of course, the failure price is also high. The federal government has calculated that failure to address climate change may cost him 2 trillion dollars annually by 2100 Reducing the gross domestic product by up to 10 percent.

Before the 2024 elections, The economy occupied the highest level Among the issues related to voters, according to Gallup. Climate change, and at the same time, was near the bottom of the list of 22 cases. This difference in priorities is something that the climate is still learning to integrate into talk points.

“Increasingly, we were tending to this climate framework as a story of the economy,” Adokox said, noting how the failure to work in climate change can increase its prices. Home insurance and Grocery stores. The story of global warming “a story about costs, a story that people face every day.”

Within the sunrise movement, which has More than 100 classes and local groups Throughout the country, Powell said that members are asking how to develop the organization’s messages – and may expand their demands. Powell, like the threats of American democracy and the high cost of living, said that the idea of ​​”green reconstruction” was presented as a way to link the climate crisis with other social and economic nails. The name is alluded to two times in the history of the United States: the reconstruction that occurred after the American Civil War, the second reconstruction, and the name sometimes granted to the civil rights movement in the 1960s and 1970s. They both were deep social and political turmoil, when invitations for ethnic justice faced violence and deprivation. Under this framework, Powell said that the climate group can press for “the reconstruction of our entire economy in each sector to address the climate crisis.” But not everyone is convinced: “Some people are like, as you know, it is difficult to put a sign.”

Despite the efforts of the motivated activists to stand on the enthusiasm of the most green and more fair economy, Trump has constantly drew climate policy as restricted, designed to take something far from the voters. These types of conversation points are an effective way to activate voter fears, according to John Marshall, CEO of Energy Energy Toalition, a non -partisan marketing company that focuses on climate work. Trump said that he now killed the new green deal – reading, the Irish Republican Army – the Americans could. “Buy the car they want to buy.Through this framework, it attacks at the same time both the actual bill that took place in the law and any future climate decisions that progress may be made.

Marshall said that the approaches that confirm the polls of slow and gradual change are better than those that call for a full shift overnight. Whether this useful advice for organizers is another story or not. Daniel Dana Cohen, who participated in writing the book Planet to win: Why do we need a new green dealHe argued that the progressive should be clear about the size of the climate crisis and do not give up many conservatives and others who want to reduce its effects. He believes that linking climate shares to public investment on a large scale is still the right step: “You cannot transfer the economy in the first place,” so the movement may talk about it.

Cohen said he does not know exactly what is the best message. But he said that the progressive should continue to defend the climate policy “you can touch, like touching literally.” Cohen said that the climate movement has an opportunity, to demand now “not only green functions and green occupations, but the quality of life for all.”